Noble NE

NYSE NE
$46.83 +0.96 (+2.09%)
As of: Aug 20, 2026 · 3:45 PM EDT
Financial Ratios
Market Cap7.49 Bn
P/E50.06
P/S2.44
Div. Yield0.04
Total Debt (Qtr)1.89 Bn
Revenue Growth (1y) (Qtr)-15.20
Add ratio to table…

About

Noble Corporation plc is a public limited company incorporated under the laws of England and Wales. The company provides contract drilling services to the international oil and gas industry using a global fleet of mobile offshore drilling units. Its operations involve deploying floating and jackup rigs to drill wells in various offshore basins worldwide. Noble Corporation plc has been engaged in contract drilling since 1921 and currently operates a fleet of 36 drilling rigs…

Read more ↓
Sector: Energy Sector rationale Noble Corporation provides contract drilling services specifically for the international oil and gas industry, operating a fleet of floaters and jackup rigs to drill wells. Its revenue model is based on dayrates paid by oil and gas producers (such as ExxonMobil and BP) for the production of hydrocarbons, which falls directly under the 'Offshore Drilling' and 'Oilfield Services' industries within the Energy sector. Industry: Offshore Drilling Energy Primary Noble Corporation plc owns and operates a global fleet of mobile offshore drilling units, including 25 floaters (drillships and semisubmersibles) and 11 jackups. The company generates its revenue primarily through dayrate-based contracts for drilling wells in offshore basins for customers like ExxonMobil, BP, and Shell. Classified using BQ-MICS CIK: 0001895262

Investment Thesis

▲ Bull case
  • Noble Corporation Plc's backlog of $7.5 billion provides exceptional revenue visibility through 2027, with approximately $1.8 billion scheduled for conversion in the remainder of 2026 and $2.4 billion in 2027, which de-risks the lower end of the company's adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $940 million to $1.02 billion for 2026 and positions the firm to capitalize on accelerating dayrate pressure in ultra-deepwater markets. The company's strategic contract wins, including the Noble Courage extension with Petrobras through 2030 adding $330 million in net incremental backlog and the Noble Deliverer reactivation contract with Woodside valued at $121 million, demonstrate its ability to secure long-term, high-value agreements in core operating regions despite geopolitical volatility, reinforcing a structural shift toward sustained demand rather than temporary cyclical uplift. Management's observation that the convergence of future contracted utilization (14 rigs, including six Noble assets) with present utilization is eliminating industry white space, coupled with open floater demand expanding beyond 110 rig-years—a 33% year-on-year increase—indicates a tightening supply-demand balance that is likely to drive dayrates higher through 2027, potentially returning leading-edge pricing to the mid-to-high $400 thousands as noted by analysts, which would significantly boost margins beyond current guidance. The appointment of Jeff Miller, CEO of Halliburton, to Noble's Board brings deep technical and strategic expertise from a major oilfield services leader, likely enhancing the company's ability to collaborate on technology adoption such as managed pressure drilling and automation, which management identified as enablers for deepwater efficiency and cost curve progression, thereby positioning Noble to benefit from industry-wide productivity gains that could unlock additional demand and improve rig utilization economics over the medium term.
▼ Bear case
  • Noble Corporation Plc faces near-term financial headwinds from the early termination of the Mick O’Brien bareboat agreement, which will incur an estimated $15 million negative impact due to residual obligations through early December 2026 and stacking costs, directly offsetting the strength of the first quarter’s adjusted EBITDA of $277 million and free cash flow of $169 million, and highlighting vulnerability to customer-driven contract flexibilities even in a seemingly strong market. Despite the company's optimism about market tightening, there has been no tangible dayrate improvement yet, with leading-edge pricing still in the low $400 thousands, and management's reliance on narrative around energy security concerns—without concrete evidence of customers rewriting budgets or accelerating FIDs—suggests that the current demand uplift may be more speculative than substantive, risking a disappointment if oil prices retreat from elevated levels or if geopolitical tensions ease, leaving the firm exposed to overcapacity in its open drillship fleet. The decision to increase capital expenditures by $25 million for the Noble Deliverer reactivation, while necessary to secure the Woodside contract, raises execution risk given the project's complexity and the broader context of strained global supply chains and logistics pressures acknowledged by management, where transportation costs are up and timing pressures are intensifying, potentially leading to delays or cost overruns that could erode the expected return on this investment and delay the anticipated inflection in EBITDA and free cash flow starting in 2027. Furthermore, Noble's debt refinancing strategy—while accretive in the short term through the $800 million 6.250% Senior Notes offering to redeem higher-cost 8.500% and 8.000% notes—does not address the underlying complexity of its siloed capital structure (Legacy Noble vs. Legacy Diamond debt), and the promised material cash interest savings from collapsing this structure remain contingent on future execution, introducing refinancing risk if market conditions deteriorate or if the company fails to achieve the anticipated synergies, leaving leverage metrics more vulnerable than management's optimistic commentary implies.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer Comparison

Companies in the Oil & Gas Drilling
S.No. Ticker Company Market CapP/EP/STotal Debt (Qtr)
1 NE Noble Corp plc 7.49 Bn50.062.441.89 Bn
2 RIG Transocean Ltd. 6.71 Bn-4.051.635.12 Bn
3 PTEN Patterson Uti Energy Inc 4.63 Bn-51.740.991.23 Bn
4 HP Helmerich & Payne, Inc. 4.39 Bn-34.161.101.87 Bn
5 SDRL SEADRILL Ltd 2.97 Bn2,969.801.940.74 Bn
6 BORR Borr Drilling Ltd 1.36 Bn-5.011.342.49 Bn
7 NBR Nabors Industries Ltd 1.30 Bn4.050.402.12 Bn
8 PDS PRECISION DRILLING Corp 1.15 Bn23.460.830.45 Bn