Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NYSE: NCDL)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Asset Management CIK: 0001737924
Market Cap 316.65 Mn
P/B 0.50
P/E 5.82
P/S 2.23
ROIC (Qtr) 5.13
Div Yield % 3.21
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -15.22
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.11 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.25
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About

Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp., referred to as NCDL, operates in the specialty finance industry, with its ticker symbol being NCDL. The company's primary business activities revolve around investing in senior secured loans to private equity-owned U.S. middle market companies. These loans typically pay floating interest rates and are structured as first-lien senior secured debt and unitranche loans, providing a higher level of security and priority in the capital structure. Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. generates revenue through its...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 177.58M provides 42.98x coverage of SG&A expenses 4.13M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 177.58M provides strong 57.38x coverage of operating expenses 3.10M, showing operational efficiency.
  • Strong free cash flow of 177.58M provides 42.98x coverage of SG&A expenses 4.13M, indicating efficient cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 177.58M exceeds receivables of 585000 by 303.55x, demonstrating excellent collection efficiency.
  • Free cash flow of 177.58M provides solid 57.38x coverage of operating expenses 3.10M, showing operational efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 177.58M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (107.89M) with a -1.65 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 177.58M represents just -39.34x of debt issuance (4.51M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 177.58M is outpaced by equity issuance of (88.20M) (-2.01 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 4.13M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.
  • Other current assets of 0 provide weak coverage of payables of 44.27M, which is 0x, suggesting potential working capital stress in near term.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Asset Management
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 BLK BlackRock, Inc. 199.59 Bn 85.40 21.98 15.04 Bn
2 BN BROOKFIELD Corp /ON/ 103.94 Bn 31.52 5.64 262.97 Bn
3 AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc 88.69 Bn 55.02 7.20 5.89 Bn
4 BX Blackstone Inc. 88.51 Bn 49.39 10.93 12.89 Bn
5 KKR KKR & Co. Inc. 55.86 Bn 28.33 13.23 53.12 Bn
6 STT State Street Corp 46.52 Bn 21.77 3.91 34.72 Bn
7 NTRS Northern Trust Corp 34.14 Bn 33.31 6.71 15.64 Bn
8 RJF Raymond James Financial Inc 32.89 Bn 37.63 4.14 5.10 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.68 0.94
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -4.29 41.10
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.25 15.28
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 25.14 23.47
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 19.18 47.80
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -4.29 38.62
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 4.38 7.81
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 9.77 27.38
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.50 2.34
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 5.82 11.81
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.73 4.66
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 101.50 -5.56
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 2.00 1.73
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 55.65 49.83
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 25.16
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 -35.10
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -33.19 15.43
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 29.03 1.65
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -31.56 -90.82
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -13.31 35.24
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -30.89 -22.13
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -30.89 -163.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -17.23 -20.61
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 140.00 220.21
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -12.44 -53.96
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.11 0.22
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.61 0.36
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.38
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.86
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.25 0.70
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 25.16
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 25.16
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 37.20 -114.76
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 37.17 -127.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 37.17 -150.97
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 51.00 67.88
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 36.80 -148.68