Mgic Investment Corp (NYSE: MTG)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Insurance - Specialty CIK: 0000876437
Market Cap 7.13 Bn
P/B 1.38
P/E 9.46
P/S 5.86
ROIC (Qtr) 13.80
Div Yield % 2.32
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -0.70
Total Debt (Qtr) 645.77 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.12

About

MGIC Investment Corporation (MTG) is a leading provider of private mortgage insurance in the United States, operating in the mortgage insurance industry. The company's main business activities involve providing insurance to lenders and government-sponsored entities to protect against loss from defaults on low down payment residential mortgage loans. MGIC operates primarily in the United States, with a strong competitive position in the market. The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of mortgage insurance policies to lenders. These...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 804.42M provides robust 1.25x coverage of total debt 645.77M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 804.42M provides strong 31.85x coverage of stock compensation 25.26M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 804.42M provides exceptional 22.59x coverage of interest expenses 35.60M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 6.63B provides 10.26x coverage of total debt 645.77M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 803.49M exceeds capital expenditure of 938000 by 856.59x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 804.42M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (132.01M) with a -6.09 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Tax assets of 59.49M provide limited offset against tax liabilities of 139.59M, which is 0.43x, indicating potential future cash flow pressure from tax obligations.
  • Retained earnings of 3.30B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (159.22M), which is -20.72x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • Operating cash flow of 804.42M is outpaced by equity issuance of (794.12M) (-1.01 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 203.90M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Insurance - Specialty
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 FNF Fidelity National Financial, Inc. 14.91 Bn 12.76 1.06 4.77 Bn
2 AXS Axis Capital Holdings Ltd 8.73 Bn 8.89 1.39 1.49 Bn
3 MTG Mgic Investment Corp 7.13 Bn 9.46 5.86 0.65 Bn
4 ESNT Essent Group Ltd. 6.66 Bn 9.47 5.27 0.49 Bn
5 RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. 6.64 Bn 96.02 2.24 3.58 Bn
6 FAF First American Financial Corp 6.33 Bn 13.13 0.89 2.85 Bn
7 ACT Enact Holdings, Inc. 6.06 Bn 9.19 4.95 0.74 Bn
8 RDN Radian Group Inc 5.23 Bn 9.08 4.17 1.13 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.13 0.71
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 9.29 14.19
EV to Debt EV to Debt 11.57 23.24
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 7.58 18.43
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 7.50 16.13
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 9.30 16.11
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.05 1.73
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 6.14 5.55
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.38 1.80
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 9.45 15.04
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 5.71 2.59
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 17.20 38.44
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.54 2.02
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 15.41 72.23
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 27.70 24.83
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -197.10 -23.94
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -9.28 -13.37
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 13.68 6.74
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -1.14 22.43
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -2.33 10.45
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -1.33 35.06
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -1.38 50.45
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 10.56 37.38
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 10.09 -3.02
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -2.72 11.39
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.18 0.23
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.16 0.51
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.06
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.12 0.51
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 27.70 24.83
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 27.70 24.83
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 81.90 36.49
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 81.07 34.57
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 78.14 17.61
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 97.80 74.55
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 62.00 10.79