Midland States Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ: MSBI)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Banks - Regional CIK: 0001466026
Market Cap 459.70 Mn
P/B 0.79
P/E -3.50
P/S 1.78
ROIC (Qtr) -5.83
Div Yield % 7.42
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -18.20
Total Debt (Qtr) 598.46 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.02

About

Midland States Bancorp, Inc., often recognized by its stock symbol MSBI, operates within the banking industry, specifically as a diversified financial holding company. Its headquarters are situated in Effingham, Illinois. The company's subsidiary, Midland States Bank, offers a variety of commercial and consumer banking products and services to individuals, businesses, municipalities, and other entities across its market areas, which include Illinois and the St. Louis metropolitan area. As of December 31, 2023, Midland States Bank boasted total assets...

Read more

Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 6.89B provides 11.52x coverage of total debt 598.46M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 231.07M provides strong 75.10x coverage of stock compensation 3.08M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 231.07M provides 1.53x coverage of SG&A expenses 151.37M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Robust free cash flow of 223.79M exceeds capital expenditure of 7.29M by 30.72x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong free cash flow of 223.79M provides 1.48x coverage of SG&A expenses 151.37M, indicating efficient cost management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 231.07M barely covers its investment activities of 475.86M, with a coverage ratio of 0.49, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 231.07M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (27.37M) with a -8.44 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating earnings of (113.94M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 9.99M, with a -11.40 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Operating cash flow of 231.07M barely covers operating expenses of 203.94M with a 1.13 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.
  • Retained earnings of 99.04M provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (62.97M), which is -1.57x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Banks - Regional
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 USB Us Bancorp \De\ 84.44 Bn 12.40 3.25 77.98 Bn
2 PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. 84.36 Bn 13.61 3.73 62.34 Bn
3 NU Nu Holdings Ltd. 81.47 Bn 32.21 5.79 4.49 Bn
4 NWG NatWest Group plc 66.53 Bn 9.88 3.05 169.04 Bn
5 TFC Truist Financial Corp 64.60 Bn 13.18 3.53 71.11 Bn
6 MTB M&T Bank Corp 32.73 Bn 12.47 3.60 14.99 Bn
7 FITB Fifth Third Bancorp 31.96 Bn 14.15 3.93 18.94 Bn
8 FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ 28.98 Bn 12.78 3.26 40.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.11 0.14
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 3.32 7.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.28 5.20
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -6.72 14.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -8.74 8.92
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 3.42 8.87
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.67 1.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.97 -3.76
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.79 1.17
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -3.50 15.63
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -3.62 271.44
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) -20.70 35.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.25 0.89
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 12.21 34.52
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.05
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -24.49 -73.15
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 36.33 15.78
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 1.63 5.32
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -262.80 110.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -165.74 38.80
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -222.02 61.46
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -222.02 61.37
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -301.67 76.34
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 11.20 161.72
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -15.86 14.15
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.04 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.12 0.26
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.02 0.53
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.05
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.05
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -40.30 147.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -44.23 155.41
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -44.23 154.66
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 97.82
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -51.00 115.63