MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: MSAI)

Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Infrastructure CIK: 0001863990
Market Cap 17.88 Mn
P/B 2.16
P/E -1.44
P/S 3.21
ROIC (Qtr) -136.24
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -1.75
Total Debt (Qtr) 28,000.00
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00

About

MultiSensor AI Holdings, Inc., or MSAI, operates in the thermal imaging and sensing technology industry. The company specializes in building intelligent multi-sensing platforms incorporating edge and cloud AI software solutions. MSAI's primary business activities involve providing sensing systems built around high-resolution thermal imagers, along with visible and acoustic imagers, as well as vibration and laser spectroscopy sensors. These systems are designed to perceive and measure heat, sound, vibration, and gas in industrial assets and the surrounding...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 1.06M provide 38x coverage of short-term debt 28000, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 11.87M provides 423.96x coverage of total debt 28000, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of (8.84M) provides exceptional 442x coverage of interest expenses (20000), showing strong debt service capability.
  • Free cash flow of (11.15M) provides exceptional 557.55x coverage of interest expense (20000), showing strong debt service ability.
  • Tangible assets of 11.87M provide exceptional 7.09x coverage of deferred revenue 1.68M, showing strong service capability backing.

Bear case

  • With cash reserves of 1.06M against inventory of 4.99M, the 0.21 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of (8.84M) provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 1.68M, which is -5.28x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (8.84M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 1.56M, with a -5.66 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (11.15M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 2.31M, with a -4.83 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of (12.55M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 1.26M, with a -9.98 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Software - Infrastructure
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 MSFT Microsoft Corp 3,563.59 Bn 33.97 12.13 60.56 Bn
2 ORCL Oracle Corp 561.87 Bn 36.43 9.21 124.39 Bn
3 PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. 413.65 Bn 377.64 106.17 0.24 Bn
4 PANW Palo Alto Networks Inc 126.45 Bn 113.19 13.23 0.35 Bn
5 CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. 116.42 Bn -370.56 25.50 0.82 Bn
6 SNPS Synopsys Inc 86.06 Bn 64.60 12.20 14.29 Bn
7 NET Cloudflare, Inc. 62.78 Bn -609.27 31.18 3.50 Bn
8 FTNT Fortinet, Inc. 60.83 Bn 32.47 9.28 1.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.24 2.69
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -1.67 28.91
EV to Debt EV to Debt 526.89 19.83
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -1.18 -9.95
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -1.32 6.82
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -1.32 26.09
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.82 0.36
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.65 -9.34
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.16 3.88
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -1.44 -10.66
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -0.30
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.71
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.10
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 1.68
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 627.35 -14.20
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -34.67 -408.01
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -87.68 226.39
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -0.28
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 64.76 25.27
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 60.28 47.48
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 64.59 20.13
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 64.69 14.16
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -104.65 67.50
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 35.38 296.60
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -32.04 46.75
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.47 0.67
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.01
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.31 1.22
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.02 2.59
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.00 -0.96
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 627.35 -14.20
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 627.35 -14.20
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -202.90 -548.16
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -225.54 -199.84
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -225.18 -607.20
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 55.60 51.88
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -223.30 -610.00