Mercury Systems Inc (NASDAQ: MRCY)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Aerospace & Defense CIK: 0001049521
Market Cap 5.49 Bn
P/B 3.72
P/E -166.93
P/S 5.89
ROIC (Qtr) -0.53
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 10.16
Total Debt (Qtr) 645.13 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.44

About

Mercury Systems Inc., known by its ticker symbol MRCY, is a technology company that specializes in delivering mission-critical processing power to the edge, addressing the most pressing challenges in the aerospace and defense industries. With a presence in over 35 countries and deployed in more than 300 programs, Mercury has established itself as a significant player in this sector. The company's business strategy revolves around a differentiated market position, focusing on making trusted, secure, and mission-critical technologies more accessible...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Robust free cash flow of 135.58M exceeds capital expenditure of 20.11M by 6.74x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Tangible assets of 1.32B provide exceptional 10.51x coverage of deferred revenue 125.50M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Cash reserves of 304.72M provide ample 178.93x coverage of acquisition spending 1.70M, enabling strategic growth opportunities.
  • Cash reserves of 304.72M provide robust 0.95x coverage of current liabilities 322.18M, indicating strong short-term solvency.
  • Strong free cash flow of 135.58M provides 79.61x coverage of acquisition spending 1.70M, indicating disciplined M&A strategy.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 155.69M barely covers its investment activities of (13.81M), with a coverage ratio of -11.27, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (13.81M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 62.45M, which is -0.22x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of 155.69M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 125.50M, which is 1.24x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 155.69M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 45.72M, with a 3.41 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Operating cash flow of 155.69M provides minimal -14.22x coverage of tax expenses of (10.95M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Consolidation Items Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Aerospace & Defense
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 GE General Electric Co 342.94 Bn 42.54 7.80 20.84 Bn
2 RTX RTX Corp 252.05 Bn 38.24 2.93 40.71 Bn
3 BA Boeing Co 174.43 Bn -17.16 2.16 53.35 Bn
4 LMT Lockheed Martin Corp 126.61 Bn 30.15 1.73 22.19 Bn
5 GD General Dynamics Corp 95.62 Bn 22.69 1.86 8.01 Bn
6 NOC Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ 89.30 Bn 22.22 2.18 16.96 Bn
7 HWM Howmet Aerospace Inc. 88.16 Bn 60.80 11.05 3.19 Bn
8 TDG TransDigm Group INC 80.97 Bn 43.39 9.17 30.02 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.37 3.58
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 37.42 58.38
EV to Debt EV to Debt 9.03 98.04
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -509.67 19.42
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 89.75 33.60
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 42.97 91.66
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.06 1.13
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 6.25 11.27
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.72 4.81
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -166.93 31.79
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -3.75
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 22.95
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.70
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 14.15
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -0.35 -18.00
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 38.13 -50.32
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 92.71 1,609.43
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.75
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 90.70 -30.98
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 288.63 10.65
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 90.97 -26.90
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 73.05 -27.25
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 72.55 -99.21
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 159.34 6.61
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 34.71 -5.55
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.38 0.51
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.95 1.76
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 3.37 3.72
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.44 0.07
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -0.35 -18.00
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -0.35 -18.00
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 7.30 -345.84
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -1.23 -382.63
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -4.70 -387.93
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 28.50 -33.31
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -3.50 -389.13