MP Materials Corp. / DE (NYSE: MP)

Sector: Basic Materials Industry: Other Industrial Metals & Mining CIK: 0001801368
Market Cap 10.73 Bn
P/B 5.46
P/E -91.17
P/S 46.08
ROIC (Qtr) -5.55
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -14.90
Total Debt (Qtr) 997.27 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.51

About

MP Materials Corp., known by its ticker symbol MP, is a prominent player in the rare earth materials industry, operating primarily in the United States. The company's primary business activities revolve around the Mountain Pass Rare Earth Mine and Processing Facility, the only large-scale rare earth mining and processing site in North America. MP Materials' offerings include rare earth concentrate products and refined rare earth oxides, which are integral to a wide range of industries and applications. The company's revenue generation is primarily...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 1.94B provide 28.74x coverage of short-term debt 67.52M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 3.80B provides 3.81x coverage of total debt 997.27M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 3.80B provide exceptional 26.24x coverage of deferred revenue 144.74M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Tangible assets of 3.80B provide robust 21.43x coverage of other current liabilities 177.27M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Strong cash position of 1.94B provides 10.95x coverage of other current liabilities 177.27M, indicating excellent liquidity.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (78.42M) barely covers its investment activities of (300.71M), with a coverage ratio of 0.26, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of (78.42M) provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 144.74M, which is -0.54x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (78.42M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 25.15M, with a -3.12 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (201.78M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 123.36M, with a -1.64 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating cash flow of (78.42M) provides minimal 1.76x coverage of tax expenses of (44.65M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Other Industrial Metals & Mining
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 BHP BHP Group Ltd 162.30 Bn 17.99 3.17 -
2 TECK Teck Resources Ltd 24.54 Bn 27.27 3.23 3.67 Bn
3 MP MP Materials Corp. / DE 10.73 Bn -91.17 46.08 1.00 Bn
4 SKE Skeena Resources Ltd 3.07 Bn -36.58 0.00 0.04 Bn
5 MTRN MATERION Corp 2.85 Bn 87.35 2.45 0.53 Bn
6 VZLA Vizsla Silver Corp. 2.28 Bn -205.10 0.00 0.00 Bn
7 SGML Sigma Lithium Corp 1.76 Bn -65.03 15.16 0.12 Bn
8 ALM Almonty Industries Inc. 1.65 Bn -145.44 82.20 0.14 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.87 3.13
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -138.84 -51.74
EV to Debt EV to Debt 10.92 863.55
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -81.30 -27.66
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -105.85 566.13
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -53.96 -24.46
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.02 0.59
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 46.78 42.69
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 5.46 10.60
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -91.17 -35.19
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -16.20
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 3.46
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.08
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -0.53
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -4.72 51.59
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 42.86 -444.92
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 123.93 3,116.99
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -0.80
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -108.90 -69.51
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -21.71 20.12
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -113.65 -24.32
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -102.76 -92.39
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -89.19 -31.76
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 18.24 -5,473.04
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 2.16 9.09
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.06 0.13
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.01
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 7.18 5.35
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 8.05 6.87
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.51 0.74
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -4.72 51.59
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -4.72 51.59
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -20.30 -684.18
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -57.55 -696.12
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -69.73 -788.27
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 11.50 11.29
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -50.50 -790.78