Modiv Industrial, Inc. (NYSE: MDV)

Sector: Real Estate Industry: REIT - Industrial CIK: 0001645873
Market Cap 107.38 Mn
P/B 0.65
P/E -55.63
P/S 2.28
ROIC (Qtr) 3.59
Div Yield % 0.67
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 0.27
Total Debt (Qtr) 279.74 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.70
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About

Modiv Industrial, Inc., often referred to as Modiv, operates in the real estate investment trust (REIT) industry. The company specializes in acquiring, owning, and managing a diverse portfolio of single-tenant net-lease properties across the United States. Modiv's primary business activity involves investing in industrial manufacturing properties, which are then leased to creditworthy tenants under long-term net leases. Modiv's main business activities revolve around the acquisition and management of a portfolio comprising 42 operating properties,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 16.53M provides 2.84x coverage of SG&A expenses 5.83M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 498.39M provides 420.93x coverage of intangibles 1.18M, indicating robust asset quality.
  • Strong free cash flow of 18.29M provides 3.14x coverage of SG&A expenses 5.83M, indicating efficient cost management.
  • Free cash flow of 18.29M provides solid 0.84x coverage of operating expenses 21.73M, showing operational efficiency.
  • Cash position of 9.95M fully covers payables of 7.73M by 1.29x, showing strong vendor relationship management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 16.53M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (11.91M) with a -1.39 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 18.29M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of (1.76M), with a -10.39 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 17.23M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 15.56M, with a 1.11 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 18.29M represents just -31.65x of debt issuance (578068), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • High depreciation of 15.56M relative to operating cash flow of 16.53M, which is 0.94x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.

Peer comparison

Companies in the REIT - Industrial
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 PLD Prologis, Inc. 131.57 Bn 39.60 14.97 35.04 Bn
2 PSA Public Storage 52.97 Bn 33.41 10.98 10.25 Bn
3 EXR Extra Space Storage Inc. 15.99 Bn 113.72 34.08 13.66 Bn
4 LINE Lineage, Inc. 10.60 Bn -59.87 1.98 7.77 Bn
5 EGP Eastgroup Properties Inc 10.17 Bn 39.51 14.10 1.63 Bn
6 REXR Rexford Industrial Realty, Inc. 8.74 Bn 43.69 8.72 3.25 Bn
7 FR First Industrial Realty Trust Inc 7.95 Bn 32.11 10.93 2.57 Bn
8 STAG STAG Industrial, Inc. 7.19 Bn 26.29 8.50 3.29 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.76 1.14
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 23.07 24.26
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.36 3.22
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 22.12 50.75
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 12.09 19.38
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 20.84 -0.63
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 3.55 1.57
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 8.11 12.09
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.65 2.55
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -55.63 22.14
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -0.13 -0.46
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) -439.10 34.94
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.18 3.19
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 65.94 25.32
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.09 3.92
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -65.27 -38.11
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 45.75 19.56
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -0.76 41.56
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -24.16 27.07
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -6.43 9.45
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -24.16 22.14
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -55.47 19.88
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -125.00 14.36
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -21.41 -604.79
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -1.01 3.65
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.09 0.14
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 1.04 0.34
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.06
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.70 1.46
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.09 3.92
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.09 3.92
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 69.70 67.77
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 36.64 40.11
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 3.00 24.24
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 92.60 76.41
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -4.10 22.54