Main Street Capital CORP (NYSE: MAIN)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Asset Management CIK: 0001396440
Market Cap 5.26 Bn
P/B 1.79
P/E 9.80
P/S 9.37
ROIC (Qtr) 9.49
Div Yield % 7.55
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 2.20
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.15 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.73
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About

Main Street Capital Corporation, often referred to as Main Street Capital, operates as a principal investment firm that specializes in providing customized debt and equity financing to lower middle market (LMM) companies and debt capital to middle market companies. The company was established in March 2007 and has since been operating under the Investment Company Act of 1940 as a business development company (BDC). Main Street Capital is primarily engaged in making investments in LMM and middle market companies through various strategies, including...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 317.80M provides strong 15.40x coverage of stock compensation 20.63M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 317.80M provides 4.49x coverage of SG&A expenses 70.75M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 317.80M provides strong 3.34x coverage of tax liabilities 95.24M, showing excellent fiscal position.
  • Strong free cash flow of 317.80M provides 4.49x coverage of SG&A expenses 70.75M, indicating efficient cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 317.80M exceeds receivables of 90.11M by 3.53x, demonstrating excellent collection efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 317.80M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (335.81M) with a -0.95 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 317.80M barely covers operating expenses of (995000) with a -319.40 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.
  • Free cash flow of 317.80M represents just -5.51x of debt issuance (57.67M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Tax assets of 0 provide limited offset against tax liabilities of 95.24M, which is 0x, indicating potential future cash flow pressure from tax obligations.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 70.75M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Asset Management
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 BLK BlackRock, Inc. 199.59 Bn 85.40 21.98 15.04 Bn
2 BN BROOKFIELD Corp /ON/ 103.94 Bn 31.52 5.64 262.97 Bn
3 AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc 88.69 Bn 55.02 7.20 5.89 Bn
4 BX Blackstone Inc. 88.51 Bn 49.39 10.93 12.89 Bn
5 KKR KKR & Co. Inc. 55.86 Bn 28.33 13.23 53.12 Bn
6 STT State Street Corp 46.52 Bn 21.77 3.91 34.72 Bn
7 NTRS Northern Trust Corp 34.14 Bn 33.31 6.71 15.64 Bn
8 RJF Raymond James Financial Inc 32.89 Bn 37.63 4.14 5.10 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.40 0.94
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 23.24 41.10
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.44 15.28
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 10.90 23.47
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 15.03 47.80
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 23.24 38.62
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.41 7.81
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 13.16 27.38
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.79 2.34
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 9.80 11.81
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.60 4.66
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 69.50 -5.56
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 4.21 1.73
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 118.73 49.83
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 5.20 25.16
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 -35.10
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -63.79 15.43
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 3.31 1.65
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 13.92 -90.82
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 5.04 35.24
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 12.37 -22.13
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 11.91 -163.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 9.22 -20.61
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 504.91 220.21
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 5.92 -53.96
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.11 0.22
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 1.06 0.36
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.38
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.86
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.73 0.70
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 5.20 25.16
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 5.20 25.16
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 120.70 -114.76
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 120.70 -127.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 97.50 -150.97
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 67.88
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 95.60 -148.68