Lucid Diagnostics Inc. (NASDAQ: LUCD)

Sector: Healthcare Industry: Medical Devices CIK: 0001799011
Market Cap 96.52 Mn
P/B 3.74
P/E -1.47
P/S 21.94
ROIC (Qtr) -112.18
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 3.33
Total Debt (Qtr) 24.34 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.94
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About

Lucid Diagnostics Inc., known by its ticker symbol LUCD, is a commercial-stage medical diagnostics technology company operating within the healthcare industry. The company is dedicated to addressing the needs of the millions of patients with gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) who are at risk of developing esophageal precancer and cancer, specifically highly lethal esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Lucid Diagnostics' flagship product, the EsoGuard Esophageal DNA Test, is a bisulfite-converted targeted next-generation sequencing (NGS) DNA assay...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 47.33M provide 2.04x coverage of short-term debt 23.18M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Tangible assets of 52.78M provide robust 23.18x coverage of other current liabilities 2.28M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Cash reserves of 47.33M provide robust 1.81x coverage of current liabilities 26.21M, indicating strong short-term solvency.
  • Strong cash position of 47.33M provides 20.79x coverage of other current liabilities 2.28M, indicating excellent liquidity.
  • Cash reserves of 47.33M exceed inventory value of 486000 by 97.39x, indicating strong liquidity and inventory management.

Bear case

  • Investment activities of (405000) provide weak support for R&D spending of 5.41M, which is -0.07x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (43.78M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 4.50M, with a -9.73 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (44.18M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 405000, with a -109.09 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of (53.26M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 885000, with a -60.18 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Operating cash flow of (43.78M) barely covers operating expenses of 421000 with a -103.99 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Medical Devices
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ABT Abbott Laboratories 173.80 Bn 32.73 5.47 12.94 Bn
2 SYK Stryker Corp 141.15 Bn 43.48 5.62 15.86 Bn
3 MDT Medtronic plc 123.47 Bn 25.92 3.55 29.10 Bn
4 BSX Boston Scientific Corp 112.80 Bn 38.92 5.62 11.44 Bn
5 EW Edwards Lifesciences Corp 45.66 Bn 33.38 7.76 0.70 Bn
6 DXCM Dexcom Inc 27.52 Bn 32.91 5.90 1.34 Bn
7 STE STERIS plc 24.13 Bn 34.08 4.14 2.05 Bn
8 PODD Insulet Corp 17.33 Bn 70.38 6.87 1.01 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.75 2.13
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -2.12 2.75
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.82 17.25
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -1.75 2.89
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -1.97 4.53
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -2.10 29.36
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.96 25.09
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 21.13 32.80
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 3.74 4.73
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -1.47 -2.04
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -5.24 40.22
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 1.59
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.10
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -0.37
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -2,219.21 196.93
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -91.04 -152.08
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 226.68 8,476.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -0.44
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -18.92 -792.16
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -8.18 3.79
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -18.92 -301.80
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -18.89 -121.44
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 22.12 -87.51
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 0.62 10.43
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -15.08 38.21
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.08 0.55
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.81 1.80
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.90 4.18
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.94 1.20
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -2,219.21 196.93
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -2,219.21 196.93
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -1,190.60 -2,396.63
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -1,210.75 -2,478.60
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -1,211.30 -2,690.42
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) -58.10 30.80
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -1,496.80 -2,821.53