Lci Industries (NYSE: LCII)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Recreational Vehicles CIK: 0000763744
Market Cap 3.86 Bn
P/B 5.91
P/E 29.02
P/S 1.80
ROIC (Qtr) 7.53
Div Yield % 2.08
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 13.21
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.20 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.88
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About

LCI Industries (LCII), a prominent name in the recreation, transportation products, and housing markets, has established itself as a reliable supplier of engineered components over the years. The company operates through two primary segments: the original equipment manufacturers segment (OEM Segment) and the aftermarket segment (Aftermarket Segment). LCI Industries has been a trusted partner for major manufacturers of recreational vehicles (RVs), boats, buses, trailers, and other related industries since its inception in 1962. The OEM Segment is...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 199.72M provide 4.55x coverage of short-term debt 43.94M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 358.70M provides strong 16.64x coverage of stock compensation 21.56M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 358.70M provides exceptional 11.53x coverage of interest expenses 31.10M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Robust free cash flow of 309.69M exceeds capital expenditure of 49.01M by 6.32x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 358.70M fully covers other non-current liabilities 159.13M by 2.25x, showing strong long-term stability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 358.70M barely covers its investment activities of (132.17M), with a coverage ratio of -2.71, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 199.72M against inventory of 741.28M, the 0.27 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 358.70M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (115.50M) with a -3.11 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 199.72M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (102.99M), which is -1.94x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating earnings of 271.55M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 120.04M, with a 2.26 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Recreational Vehicles
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 THO Thor Industries Inc 6.02 Bn 23.47 1.31 0.98 Bn
2 BC Brunswick Corp 5.79 Bn -42.13 1.08 2.25 Bn
3 HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc. 4.54 Bn 6.22 0.77 5.21 Bn
4 LCII Lci Industries 3.86 Bn 29.02 1.80 1.20 Bn
5 PII Polaris Inc. 3.76 Bn -8.07 0.53 1.54 Bn
6 WGO Winnebago Industries Inc 1.38 Bn 106.02 0.46 0.58 Bn
7 MBUU Malibu Boats, Inc. 0.62 Bn 43.18 0.76 0.02 Bn
8 MCFT MasterCraft Boat Holdings, Inc. 0.38 Bn 24.66 1.30 0.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.23 0.70
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 25.45 6.55
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.24 3.14
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 18.14 -18.45
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 14.45 10.49
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 59.36 12.72
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.01 -21.47
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.81 0.65
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 5.91 1.89
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 29.02 18.23
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.55 0.48
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 64.20 17.83
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 4.60 0.91
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 36.23 20.02
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 8.73 11.87
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -12.57 55.44
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 20.49 -6.35
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 9.52 -1.69
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 29.39 21.79
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 14.10 2.46
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 32.64 80.41
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 40.23 119.88
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 39.03 23.97
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -13.52 548.19
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 8.31 93.02
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.26 0.93
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.28 0.15
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.41 0.54
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.78 2.54
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.88 1.02
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 8.73 11.87
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 8.73 11.87
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 9.80 -5.77
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 6.80 -12.97
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 6.02 -10.90
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 23.60 21.59
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 4.50 -11.85