John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ: JMSB)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Banks - Regional CIK: 0001710482
Market Cap 285.59 Mn
P/B 1.10
P/E 14.21
P/S 4.82
ROIC (Qtr) 5.78
Div Yield % 1.50
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 18.87
Total Debt (Qtr) 85.80 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.33

About

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) is a Virginia-based bank holding company that operates as a commercial bank in the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area, providing commercial banking services to small to medium-sized businesses, professionals, non-profits, and individuals with a broad range of banking needs. The company's primary business activities include a variety of banking products and services, such as commercial checking, savings, and money market accounts, certificates of deposit, treasury and cash management services, commercial and industrial...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 21.21M provides strong 41.10x coverage of stock compensation 516000, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 2.32B provides 27.09x coverage of total debt 85.80M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 20.47M exceeds capital expenditure of 741000 by 27.62x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 171M represent substantial 0.66x of equity 259.69M, indicating strong internal capital generation.
  • Operating cash flow of 21.21M provides strong 2.12x coverage of operating expenses 10M, showing operational efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 21.21M barely covers its investment activities of (61.98M), with a coverage ratio of -0.34, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 21.21M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (4.27M) with a -4.97 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 21.21M is outpaced by equity issuance of (1.22M) (-17.36 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Retained earnings of 171M provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (7.76M), which is -22.04x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 23.54M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Banks - Regional
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 USB Us Bancorp \De\ 84.44 Bn 12.40 3.25 77.98 Bn
2 PNC Pnc Financial Services Group, Inc. 84.36 Bn 13.61 3.73 62.34 Bn
3 NU Nu Holdings Ltd. 81.47 Bn 32.21 5.79 4.49 Bn
4 NWG NatWest Group plc 66.53 Bn 9.88 3.05 169.04 Bn
5 TFC Truist Financial Corp 64.60 Bn 13.18 3.53 71.11 Bn
6 MTB M&T Bank Corp 32.73 Bn 12.47 3.60 14.99 Bn
7 FITB Fifth Third Bancorp 31.96 Bn 14.15 3.93 18.94 Bn
8 FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ 28.98 Bn 12.78 3.26 40.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.12 0.14
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 12.77 7.21
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.16 5.20
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 10.52 14.98
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 9.90 8.92
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 13.23 8.87
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.95 1.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 4.57 -3.76
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.10 1.17
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 14.21 15.63
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 4.71 271.44
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 21.30 35.28
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.30 0.89
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 20.85 34.52
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -0.05
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -101.36 -73.15
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -7.66 15.78
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 20.00 5.32
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 19.28 110.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 17.37 38.80
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 18.85 61.46
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 18.85 61.37
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 18.49 76.34
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 21.60 161.72
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 11.69 14.15
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.03 0.04
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.19 0.26
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.01
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.33 0.53
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -0.05
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -0.05
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 46.10 147.97
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 43.42 155.41
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 43.42 154.66
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 100.00 97.82
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 33.90 115.63