Imperial Oil Ltd (NYSE: IMO)

Sector: Energy Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated CIK: 0000049938
Market Cap 99.73 Bn
P/B 5.26
P/E 51.19
P/S 4.54
ROIC (Qtr) 19.47
Div Yield % 0.83
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -10.44
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.90 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.17
Add ratio to table...

About

Imperial Oil Limited, commonly known as Imperial Oil, is a Canadian energy company with a rich history dating back to 1880. It is a subsidiary of ExxonMobil Corporation, with approximately 69.6% of its outstanding shares owned by ExxonMobil. Imperial Oil is one of Canada's largest integrated oil companies, operating in all phases of the petroleum industry, including exploration, production, refining, and marketing of petroleum products. Imperial Oil's main business activities revolve around the exploration, production, and sale of crude oil and...

Read more

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 4.77B provides robust 1.65x coverage of total debt 2.90B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 1.35B provide 103.39x coverage of short-term debt 13.04M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 31.01B provides 10.71x coverage of total debt 2.90B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 4.77B provides exceptional 548.25x coverage of interest expenses 8.70M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Robust free cash flow of 3.47B exceeds capital expenditure of 1.30B by 2.66x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 4.77B barely covers its investment activities of (1.26B), with a coverage ratio of -3.79, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 4.77B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (983.33M) with a -4.85 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Investment activities of (1.26B) provide weak support for R&D spending of 2.17M, which is -578.33x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Free cash flow of 3.47B represents just -40.53x of debt issuance (85.51M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating earnings of 3.78B show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 1.77B, with a 2.13 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Oil & Gas Integrated
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 XOM Exxon Mobil Corp 630.73 Bn 18.39 1.45 42.04 Bn
2 CVX Chevron Corp 360.16 Bn 29.26 2.14 41.54 Bn
3 TTE TotalEnergies SE 172.29 Bn 13.13 0.94 61.42 Bn
4 IMO Imperial Oil Ltd 99.73 Bn 51.19 4.54 2.90 Bn
5 BP Bp Plc 98.37 Bn 1,788.57 0.51 72.53 Bn
6 SU Suncor Energy Inc 67.22 Bn 15.56 1.87 10.59 Bn
7 CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. 38.97 Bn 17.12 1.04 7.27 Bn
8 NFG National Fuel Gas Co 7.90 Bn 12.06 3.32 2.77 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 3.08 1.02
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 55.22 11.79
EV to Debt EV to Debt 33.16 7.40
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 41.63 19.95
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 27.41 7.85
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 84.50 46.96
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.96 1.30
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 4.37 2.01
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 5.26 2.14
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 51.19 168.60
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.14 0.95
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 28.60 786.52
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.63 1.89
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 17.29 37.80
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 435.00 42.88
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 7.53 -10.32
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 23.09 32.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -12.11 -4.88
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -20.52 142.66
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -10.05 22.56
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -20.35 35.32
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -19.85 190.68
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -15.37 511.78
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 31.34 4.66
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -4.14 16.28
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.82 0.58
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.16 0.13
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.28 0.27
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.47 1.06
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.17 0.88
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 435.00 42.88
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 435.00 42.88
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 15.80 18.39
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 14.88 6.19
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 10.76 1.30
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 18.80 30.31
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 8.30 -1.26