GXO Logistics, Inc. (NYSE: GXO)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Integrated Freight & Logistics CIK: 0001852244
Market Cap 7.46 Bn
P/B 2.52
P/E 83.79
P/S 0.58
ROIC (Qtr) 2.02
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 7.54
Total Debt (Qtr) 5.50 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.86
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About

GXO Logistics, Inc., known by its ticker symbol GXO, is a dominant player in the logistics industry, specializing in high-value-added warehousing and distribution, order fulfillment, e-commerce, reverse logistics, and other supply chain services. The company boasts an impressive global footprint, with operations in 974 facilities spanning 199 million square feet across the world. GXO primarily serves large corporations that have outsourced their logistics activities, with a diverse customer base of over 1,000 clients, including many multinational...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 450M provides exceptional 112.50x coverage of minority interest expenses 4M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 450M provides strong 10.47x coverage of stock compensation 43M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Cash position of 339M provides exceptional 84.75x coverage of minority interest expenses 4M, indicating strong liquidity.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 450M barely covers its investment activities of (219M), with a coverage ratio of -2.05, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating earnings of 268M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 450M, with a 0.60 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 223M represents just -0.87x of debt issuance (256M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 450M barely covers operating expenses of 609M with a 0.74 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.
  • High depreciation of 450M relative to operating cash flow of 450M, which is 1x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Integrated Freight & Logistics
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 FDX Fedex Corp 99.67 Bn 20.28 1.11 37.77 Bn
2 UPS United Parcel Service Inc 98.11 Bn 17.61 1.11 28.59 Bn
3 JBHT Hunt J B Transport Services Inc 28.29 Bn 145.14 7.91 1.60 Bn
4 EXPD Expeditors International Of Washington Inc 22.29 Bn 27.40 2.13 0.56 Bn
5 CHRW C. H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. 21.34 Bn 36.35 1.31 1.43 Bn
6 ZTO ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. 20.15 Bn 16.23 3.02 1.74 Bn
7 GXO GXO Logistics, Inc. 7.46 Bn 83.79 0.58 5.50 Bn
8 LSTR Landstar System Inc 5.11 Bn 28.60 1.06 0.13 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.08 1.04
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 28.47 -0.78
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.33 -1.98
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 47.80 10.54
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 18.25 9.04
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 57.44 -2.76
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.72 0.62
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.99 -0.31
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.52 4.96
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 83.79 15.82
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 0.95
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 14.92
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.73
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 11.81
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.96 -430.42
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 25.08 -2,938.62
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -38.14 139.78
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -0.23
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -0.88 -442.31
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 17.20 -224.47
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 38.14 -367.92
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 15.93 -191.62
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -14.29 -974.30
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -18.91 -67.17
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 10.32 1.66
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.09 1.29
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.07
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.09 0.97
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.71 3.22
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.86 1.06
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.96 -430.42
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.96 -430.42
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 5.60 17.62
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 2.07 24.68
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 1.01 18.38
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 15.10 20.25
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 0.70 31.04