Gladstone Commercial Corp (NASDAQ: GOOD)

Sector: Real Estate Industry: REIT - Diversified CIK: 0001234006
Market Cap 474.54 Mn
P/B 2.60
P/E -58.60
P/S 3.12
ROIC (Qtr) 5.49
Div Yield % 12.20
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 4.09
Total Debt (Qtr) 850.12 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 4.60
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About

Gladstone Commercial Corporation (GOOD) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) operating in the real estate industry. The company specializes in the acquisition, ownership, and management of industrial and office properties. Its shares of common stock, preferred stock, and OP Units are publicly traded on the Nasdaq Global Select Market under the symbols GOOD, GOODN, and GOODO, respectively. Founded in 2003, Gladstone Commercial Corporation has chosen to be taxed as a REIT for federal income tax purposes. The company's primary business activities...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 95.22M provides exceptional 8656.09x coverage of minority interest expenses 11000, showing strong core operations.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 95.22M provides 14.49x coverage of SG&A expenses 6.57M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Strong free cash flow of (128.78M) provides 88.81x coverage of acquisition spending (1.45M), indicating disciplined M&A strategy.
  • Cash position of 24.63M provides exceptional 2239.27x coverage of minority interest expenses 11000, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.14B provides 9.51x coverage of intangibles 120.34M, indicating robust asset quality.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 95.22M barely covers its investment activities of (228.68M), with a coverage ratio of -0.42, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 95.22M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (66.85M) with a -1.42 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 24.63M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (1.45M), which is -16.99x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Free cash flow of (128.78M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 224M, with a -0.57 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Free cash flow of (128.78M) represents just -0.85x of debt issuance 150.80M, suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the REIT - Diversified
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 VICI Vici Properties Inc. 30.39 Bn 11.76 8.24 16.76 Bn
2 WPC W. P. Carey Inc. 16.39 Bn 35.15 9.55 8.72 Bn
3 BNL Broadstone Net Lease, Inc. 2.77 Bn 40.51 8.39 2.34 Bn
4 SAFE Safehold Inc. 1.15 Bn 10.07 2.99 4.59 Bn
5 AAT American Assets Trust, Inc. 1.13 Bn 20.37 2.60 1.69 Bn
6 ESRT Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. 0.91 Bn 16.82 1.33 2.06 Bn
7 CTO CTO Realty Growth, Inc. 0.60 Bn 6,383.33 35.13 0.60 Bn
8 GNL Global Net Lease, Inc. 0.57 Bn 11.86 2.57 2.93 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.96 0.68
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 18.52 -30.44
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.42 1.31
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 29.44 52.23
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 12.99 6.51
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 38.03 21.01
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.55 6.71
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 7.94 9.65
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.60 0.98
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -58.60 385.22
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.10 -1.16
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 631.60 90.61
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.20 1.00
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -43.68 -0.65
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.54 0.73
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -3,922.46 -246.98
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 69.53 49.26
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 2.40
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 1.75 -20.77
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 12.98 -2.00
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 1.75 -20.80
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -1.20 -13.26
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -9.52 -38.39
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -348.11 -62.73
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 3.28 -1.85
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.12 0.11
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.22 0.34
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.00
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 4.60 0.82
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.54 0.73
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.54 0.73
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 74.70 38.58
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 38.73 10.26
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 13.59 -13.89
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 77.00 59.91
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 5.40 -17.09