GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc. (NASDAQ: GBDC)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Asset Management CIK: 0001476765
Market Cap 3.21 Bn
P/B 0.82
P/E 9.72
P/S 3.75
ROIC (Qtr) 7.63
Div Yield % 12.73
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -6.20
Total Debt (Qtr) 4.88 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.25
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About

Golub Capital BDC, Inc., or GBDC, is a business development company that operates in the United States, providing financing to middle-market companies. The company is externally managed by GC Advisors, which is responsible for sourcing potential investments, conducting research and due diligence, and analyzing investment opportunities. GBDC's primary business is to generate current income and capital appreciation by investing in senior secured and one-stop loans to middle-market companies. The company's investment objective is to assemble a portfolio...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 473.15M provides 48.71x coverage of SG&A expenses 9.71M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 473.15M provides strong 37.76x coverage of operating expenses 12.53M, showing operational efficiency.
  • Strong free cash flow of 473.15M provides 48.71x coverage of SG&A expenses 9.71M, indicating efficient cost management.
  • Free cash flow of 473.15M provides solid 37.76x coverage of operating expenses 12.53M, showing operational efficiency.
  • Operating cash flow of 473.15M exceeds receivables of 6.70M by 70.61x, demonstrating excellent collection efficiency.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 473.15M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (344.39M) with a -1.37 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 473.15M represents just -5.28x of debt issuance (89.68M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Operating cash flow of 473.15M is outpaced by equity issuance of (94.58M) (-5 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.
  • Cash position of 150.88M provides only 0.54x coverage of interest expenses of 277.29M, indicating potential refinancing risks in a rising rate environment.
  • R&D investment of 0 represents just 0x of SG&A expenses of 9.71M, indicating potential underinvestment in innovation relative to administrative overhead.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Asset Management
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 BLK BlackRock, Inc. 199.59 Bn 85.40 21.98 15.04 Bn
2 BN BROOKFIELD Corp /ON/ 103.94 Bn 31.52 5.64 262.97 Bn
3 AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc 88.69 Bn 55.02 7.20 5.89 Bn
4 BX Blackstone Inc. 88.51 Bn 49.39 10.93 12.89 Bn
5 KKR KKR & Co. Inc. 55.86 Bn 28.33 13.23 53.12 Bn
6 STT State Street Corp 46.52 Bn 21.77 3.91 34.72 Bn
7 NTRS Northern Trust Corp 34.14 Bn 33.31 6.71 15.64 Bn
8 RJF Raymond James Financial Inc 32.89 Bn 37.63 4.14 5.10 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.90 0.94
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 16.94 41.10
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.64 15.28
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 13.18 23.47
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 11.89 47.80
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 16.94 38.62
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.49 7.81
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 9.35 27.38
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.82 2.34
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 9.72 11.81
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.96 4.66
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 123.80 -5.56
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.56 1.73
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 86.96 49.83
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.19 25.16
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex Growth (1y) % 0.00 -35.10
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -29.53 15.43
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -19.17 1.65
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 8.62 -90.82
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 4.26 35.24
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 8.54 -22.13
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 6.80 -163.05
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -9.35 -20.61
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 343.33 220.21
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 4.84 -53.96
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.10 0.22
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.73 0.36
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.38
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.86
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.25 0.70
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.19 25.16
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.19 25.16
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 70.90 -114.76
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 70.92 -127.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 38.57 -150.97
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 81.20 67.88
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 38.60 -148.68