Five Point Holdings, LLC (NYSE: FPH)

Sector: Real Estate Industry: Real Estate - Development CIK: 0001574197
Market Cap 378.07 Mn
P/B 0.47
P/E 4.01
P/S 1.95
ROIC (Qtr) 1.30
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -20.72
Total Debt (Qtr) 444.53 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.55
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About

Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH), a prominent player in the real estate industry, is dedicated to planning, developing, and selling residential and commercial properties in California. The company's primary business activities revolve around designing and building communities, securing necessary entitlements and approvals, and selling land to homebuilders and commercial developers. FPH's operations are segmented into Valencia, San Francisco, Great Park Neighborhoods, and Commercial. The Valencia segment, a mixed-use planned community in Los Angeles...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 209.12M provides robust 0.47x coverage of total debt 444.53M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 3.10B provides 6.96x coverage of total debt 444.53M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 208.90M exceeds capital expenditure of 225000 by 928.42x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 209.12M provides 3.55x coverage of SG&A expenses 58.87M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Operating cash flow of 209.12M provides strong 29.90x coverage of stock compensation 7M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.

Bear case

  • With cash reserves of 352.12M against inventory of 2.45B, the 0.14 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Free cash flow of 208.90M represents just -2.47x of debt issuance (84.46M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Retained earnings of 204.75M provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (1.45M), which is -141.21x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.
  • Operating cash flow of 209.12M shows concerning coverage of minority interest expenses of 151.70M, which is 1.38x, suggesting complex corporate structure risks.
  • Tax assets of 0 provide limited offset against tax liabilities of 223.47M, which is 0x, indicating potential future cash flow pressure from tax obligations.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Real Estate - Development
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 VTMX Vesta Real Estate Corporation, S.A.B. de C.V. 11.83 Bn 120.68 43.52 1.45 Bn
2 CCS Century Communities, Inc. 2.20 Bn 14.92 0.53 1.44 Bn
3 FOR Forestar Group Inc. 1.53 Bn 9.16 0.91 0.79 Bn
4 FPH Five Point Holdings, LLC 0.38 Bn 4.01 1.95 0.44 Bn
5 SKYH Sky Harbour Group Corp 0.19 Bn -44.25 7.89 0.35 Bn
6 OZ Belpointe PREP, LLC 0.19 Bn -5.15 26.12 0.26 Bn
7 JFB JFB Construction Holdings 0.16 Bn -53.12 7.47 0.00 Bn
8 SDHC Smith Douglas Homes Corp. 0.16 Bn 14.38 0.16 0.05 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.14 1.43
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 2.14 3.32
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.01 296.38
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 3.37 -7.88
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 13.86 -0.77
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 2.14 -6.68
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.18 1.29
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.31 10.93
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.47 2.09
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 4.01 6.45
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -24.67
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 23.30
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.13
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -3.13
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -12.63
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 68.04 -104.71
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 56.14 29.52
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -0.47
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 82.64 -5.81
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -53.77 -36.06
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 138.20 7.48
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 138.20 -2.06
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 82.43 -8.78
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 907.06 109.52
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -14.85 34.01
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.06 0.42
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.03
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.96
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 1.61
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.55 0.97
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -12.63
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -12.63
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 73.00 6.42
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 68.58 35.19
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 68.58 -40.37
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 42.60 29.45
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 48.60 -51.49