Flyexclusive Inc. (NYSE: FLYX)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Airlines CIK: 0001843973
Market Cap 61.44 Mn
P/B -0.14
P/E -2.27
P/S 0.17
ROIC (Qtr) 56.20
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 19.77
Total Debt (Qtr) 265.05 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) -0.61
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About

FlyExclusive Inc., known by its stock symbol FLYX, is a prominent player in the private aviation industry. The company's core business revolves around the ownership and operation of jet aircraft, with a mission to become the most vertically integrated private aviation company in the world. It offers a comprehensive suite of services, including charter, jet club, fractional ownership, and MRO (Maintenance, Repair, and Overhaul) services. FlyExclusive's operations span across various regions, with its primary products being Cessna Citation, Gulfstream,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Robust free cash flow of 20.82M exceeds capital expenditure of 12.38M by 1.68x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 33.20M provides strong 5.49x coverage of inventory 6.04M, indicating efficient inventory management.
  • Retained earnings of (434.22M) represent substantial 1x of equity (434.22M), indicating strong internal capital generation.
  • Operating cash flow of 33.20M provides strong 27.94x coverage of tax liabilities 1.19M, showing excellent fiscal position.
  • Cash reserves of 18.70M exceed inventory value of 6.04M by 3.10x, indicating strong liquidity and inventory management.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 33.20M barely covers its investment activities of 48.50M, with a coverage ratio of 0.68, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 33.20M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 152.64M, which is 0.22x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • High receivables of 12.36M relative to inventory of 6.04M (2.05 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Operating earnings of 1.87M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 24.95M, with a 0.07 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Free cash flow of 20.82M represents just -0.22x of debt issuance (92.97M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Airlines
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. 45.93 Bn 9.18 0.72 20.27 Bn
2 UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. 37.05 Bn 11.05 0.63 31.04 Bn
3 LUV Southwest Airlines Co 29.18 Bn 66.17 1.04 5.98 Bn
4 AAL American Airlines Group Inc. 9.42 Bn 15.65 0.17 36.06 Bn
5 ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. 6.72 Bn 67.15 0.47 6.89 Bn
6 SKYW Skywest Inc 4.33 Bn 10.12 1.07 2.47 Bn
7 AERO Grupo Aeromexico, S.A.B. de C.V. 2.64 Bn 7.49 0.49 4.06 Bn
8 JBLU Jetblue Airways Corp 2.20 Bn -3.66 0.24 9.42 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.66 0.75
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 8.88 -1.78
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.11 1.92
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 157.91 12.70
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -11.31 -7.83
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 14.15 4.43
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 4.80 2.37
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 0.81 1.05
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B -0.14 0.89
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -2.27 14.33
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) -3.09 22,529.03
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 7.43
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.11
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -2.56
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.09 1.76
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 47.36 -69.47
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 0.26 40.07
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 2.71
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 110.48 -58.97
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 61.43 80.32
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 110.45 -22.88
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 54.85 -112.97
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 -167.26
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 128.56 2,772.29
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 107.43 7.74
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.81 0.74
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.01
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.07 0.24
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.25 0.56
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) -0.61 0.61
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.09 1.76
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.09 1.76
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 7.40 5.51
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 0.51 -0.22
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -5.03 -3.82
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 14.90 41.52
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -7.50 -4.40