Fair Isaac Corp (NYSE: FICO)

Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Application CIK: 0000814547
Market Cap 40.37 Bn
P/B -23.12
P/E 61.92
P/S 20.28
ROIC (Qtr) 51.83
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 13.65
Total Debt (Qtr) 3.07 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) -1.76

About

Fair Isaac Corporation, commonly known as FICO, is a leading applied analytics company that operates in the financial services industry. The company, which was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in San Jose, California, is listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) under the ticker symbol FICO. FICO's main business activities are focused on providing scores and software solutions to businesses and consumers. The company's scores, which are used to measure credit risk, are widely utilized in the financial services industry. FICO's software solutions,...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Robust free cash flow of 739.40M exceeds capital expenditure of 39.41M by 18.76x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 778.81M provides 1.52x coverage of SG&A expenses 513.03M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Tangible assets of 1.08B provide exceptional 5.79x coverage of deferred revenue 187.37M, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 778.81M provides strong 4.16x coverage of deferred revenue 187.37M, indicating service delivery capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 778.81M provides solid 0.92x coverage of current liabilities 849.22M, showing strong operational health.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 778.81M barely covers its investment activities of (43.72M), with a coverage ratio of -17.81, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (43.72M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 188.35M, which is -0.23x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 778.81M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 156.67M, with a 4.97 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • High financing cash flow of (750.33M) relative to working capital of (144.05M), which is 5.21x suggests concerning dependence on external funding for operational needs.
  • Retained earnings of 4.55B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (92.05M), which is -49.46x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Timing of Transfer of Good or Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Software - Application
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SAP Sap Se 288.31 Bn 34.60 6.72 10.73 Bn
2 CRM Salesforce, Inc. 248.32 Bn 34.38 6.16 11.14 Bn
3 SHOP Shopify Inc. 212.27 Bn 119.19 19.85 1.12 Bn
4 INTU Intuit Inc. 180.73 Bn 43.89 9.30 6.78 Bn
5 UBER Uber Technologies, Inc 178.38 Bn 10.72 3.60 12.19 Bn
6 NOW ServiceNow, Inc. 146.98 Bn 84.91 11.60 2.40 Bn
7 ADBE Adobe Inc. 144.48 Bn 20.77 6.23 6.64 Bn
8 ADP Automatic Data Processing Inc 108.20 Bn 26.16 5.18 9.77 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 23.01 2.65
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 55.18 13.37
EV to Debt EV to Debt 13.98 57.69
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 45.90 19.12
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 45.27 15.00
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 58.12 14.69
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.06 -92.28
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 21.59 4.60
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B -23.12 4.26
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 61.92 -136.90
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 -3.95
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.25
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.52
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 7.01 -52.32
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -54.23 -259.78
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -10.97 9,763.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 1.61
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 27.35 -263.15
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 24.94 56.46
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 25.22 -225.15
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 25.01 -86.10
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 29.45 123.84
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 21.73 -36.82
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 19.56 95.08
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.07 0.58
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.16 3.75
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.83 8.16
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) -1.76 0.17
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 7.01 -52.32
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 7.01 -52.32
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 48.30 -100.06
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 47.03 -164.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 40.31 -116.94
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 82.20 58.20
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 32.70 -121.65