Elastic N.V. (NYSE: ESTC)

Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Application CIK: 0001707753
Market Cap 8.43 Bn
P/B 9.46
P/E -77.08
P/S 5.24
ROIC (Qtr) 88.35
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 15.91
Total Debt (Qtr) 590.71 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.66

About

Elastic N.V., known by its ticker symbol ESTC, operates in the technology industry, specifically in the realm of data search and analysis. The company's main business activities revolve around providing a Search AI Platform that combines search capabilities with artificial intelligence, enabling companies to solve real-time business problems, unlock potential value, and achieve better outcomes. This platform is available both as a hosted, managed service across public clouds and as self-managed software. Elastic's products are designed to help...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 306.48M provides robust 0.52x coverage of total debt 590.71M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 804.05M provide 119.72x coverage of short-term debt 6.72M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 306.48M provides exceptional 12.28x coverage of interest expenses 24.96M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 2.10B provides 3.55x coverage of total debt 590.71M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 302.34M exceeds capital expenditure of 4.14M by 72.96x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 306.48M barely covers its investment activities of (91.03M), with a coverage ratio of -3.37, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (91.03M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 405.54M, which is -0.22x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 804.05M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (36.83M), which is -21.83x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 306.48M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 732.51M, which is 0.42x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 306.48M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 273M, with a 1.12 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Software - Application
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SAP Sap Se 288.31 Bn 34.60 6.72 10.73 Bn
2 CRM Salesforce, Inc. 248.32 Bn 34.38 6.16 11.14 Bn
3 SHOP Shopify Inc. 212.27 Bn 119.19 19.85 1.12 Bn
4 INTU Intuit Inc. 180.73 Bn 43.89 9.30 6.78 Bn
5 UBER Uber Technologies, Inc 178.38 Bn 10.72 3.60 12.19 Bn
6 NOW ServiceNow, Inc. 146.98 Bn 84.91 11.60 2.40 Bn
7 ADBE Adobe Inc. 144.48 Bn 20.77 6.23 6.64 Bn
8 ADP Automatic Data Processing Inc 108.20 Bn 26.16 5.18 9.77 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 3.37 2.65
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 27.26 13.37
EV to Debt EV to Debt 14.14 57.69
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 325.97 19.12
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -577.06 15.00
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 27.63 14.69
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.99 -92.28
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 5.19 4.60
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 9.46 4.26
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -77.08 -136.90
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -3.95
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.25
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.52
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.03 -52.32
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -22.46 -259.78
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 21.49 9,763.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.61
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -9,594.09 -263.15
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 82.60 56.46
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 135.44 -225.15
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 100.68 -86.10
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -267.21 123.84
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 50.36 -36.82
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 19.37 95.08
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.65 0.58
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.87 3.75
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.97 8.16
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.66 0.17
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.03 -52.32
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.03 -52.32
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 2.80 -100.06
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 1.59 -164.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 0.04 -116.94
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 75.50 58.20
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -6.80 -121.65