Duolingo, Inc. (NASDAQ: DUOL)

Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Application CIK: 0001562088
Market Cap 8.09 Bn
P/B 6.19
P/E 20.96
P/S 8.39
ROIC (Qtr) 53.96
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 41.08
Total Debt (Qtr) 93.26 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.07

About

Duolingo, Inc. (DUOL) is a technology company that has transformed the way individuals learn languages and other subjects. The company, founded by Luis von Ahn and Severin Hacker, aims to make high-quality education accessible to everyone, regardless of socioeconomic status. Duolingo operates in the education technology industry, with a focus on creating engaging and effective learning experiences through its innovative platform. Duolingo's main business activities revolve around the development and maintenance of its flagship app, which is the...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 363.89M provides robust 3.90x coverage of total debt 93.26M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.82B provides 19.54x coverage of total debt 93.26M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 347.60M exceeds capital expenditure of 16.29M by 21.33x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Retained earnings of 246.26M provide full 2.64x coverage of long-term debt 93.26M, indicating strong internal capital position.
  • Operating cash flow of 363.89M provides solid 0.75x coverage of current liabilities 484.54M, showing strong operational health.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 363.89M barely covers its investment activities of (174.86M), with a coverage ratio of -2.08, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (174.86M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 293.16M, which is -0.60x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 1.01B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (33.60M), which is -30.19x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 363.89M provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 441.73M, which is 0.82x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 363.89M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 130.96M, with a 2.78 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Software - Application
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SAP Sap Se 288.31 Bn 34.60 6.72 10.73 Bn
2 CRM Salesforce, Inc. 248.32 Bn 34.38 6.16 11.14 Bn
3 SHOP Shopify Inc. 212.27 Bn 119.19 19.85 1.12 Bn
4 INTU Intuit Inc. 180.73 Bn 43.89 9.30 6.78 Bn
5 UBER Uber Technologies, Inc 178.38 Bn 10.72 3.60 12.19 Bn
6 NOW ServiceNow, Inc. 146.98 Bn 84.91 11.60 2.40 Bn
7 ADBE Adobe Inc. 144.48 Bn 20.77 6.23 6.64 Bn
8 ADP Automatic Data Processing Inc 108.20 Bn 26.16 5.18 9.77 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 3.82 2.65
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 19.80 13.37
EV to Debt EV to Debt 77.25 57.69
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 47.95 19.12
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 59.92 15.00
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 20.73 14.69
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.89 -92.28
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 7.47 4.60
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 6.19 4.26
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 20.96 -136.90
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -3.95
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.25
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.52
Interest Coverage Interest Coverage 0.00 -52.32
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 28.69 -259.78
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 18.33 9,763.58
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.61
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 344.80 -263.15
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 91.64 56.46
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 58.02 -225.15
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 58.02 -86.10
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 319.40 123.84
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 52.11 -36.82
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 37.69 95.08
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.51 0.58
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 2.09 3.75
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.82 8.16
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.07 0.17
Interest Cover Ratio Interest Cover Ratio 0.00 -52.32
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned 0.00 -52.32
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 17.10 -100.06
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 15.58 -164.24
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 15.58 -116.94
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 72.00 58.20
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 40.00 -121.65