Cipher Mining Inc. (NASDAQ: CIFR)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Capital Markets CIK: 0001819989
Market Cap 6.35 Bn
P/B 8.11
P/E -90.06
P/S 30.76
ROIC (Qtr) -6.64
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 197.51
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.04 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.33

About

Cipher Mining Inc., known by its ticker symbol CIFR, operates in the technology sector with a specific focus on bitcoin mining. The company's primary business activity involves the development and operation of industrial-scale bitcoin mining data centers. Cipher Mining's main business activities revolve around bitcoin mining, a process that uses specialized computer servers to verify transactions on the Bitcoin blockchain and earn bitcoin rewards. This is achieved through the use of powerful computational systems, which are used to solve complex...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 1.22B provide 159.72x coverage of short-term debt 7.65M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 2.83B provides 2.71x coverage of total debt 1.04B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 2.83B provides 3.33x coverage of working capital 849.23M, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Tangible assets of 2.83B provide robust 5.15x coverage of other current liabilities 550.14M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Cash reserves of 1.22B provide robust 2.14x coverage of current liabilities 570.25M, indicating strong short-term solvency.

Bear case

  • The company's operating cash flow of (182.48M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 38.10M, with a -4.79 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (521.78M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 339.29M, with a -1.54 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of (67.95M) show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 186.29M, with a -0.36 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • Operating cash flow of (182.48M) barely covers operating expenses of 134.96M with a -1.35 ratio, suggesting thin operational efficiency margins and limited flexibility.
  • Free cash flow of (521.78M) represents just -0.36x of debt issuance 1.43B, suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Capital Markets
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc 284.23 Bn 17.94 4.84 911.32 Bn
2 MS Morgan Stanley 279.63 Bn 17.97 4.05 353.12 Bn
3 SCHW Schwab Charles Corp 179.33 Bn 23.09 7.83 27.59 Bn
4 HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. 106.92 Bn 48.73 25.43 0.00 Bn
5 CRCL Circle Internet Group, Inc. 40.97 Bn 261.00 24.22 0.15 Bn
6 IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. 28.23 Bn 30.79 4.75 28.43 Bn
7 LPLA LPL Financial Holdings Inc. 27.60 Bn 33.13 1.77 7.52 Bn
8 FUTU Futu Holdings Ltd 22.89 Bn 18.13 8.54 1.75 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.28 1.07
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -35.42 15.33
EV to Debt EV to Debt 6.19 21.89
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -95.12 -0.80
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 75.16 11.20
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -12.39 43.08
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.02 -0.05
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 31.31 12.82
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 8.11 3.09
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -90.06 6.20
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 4.22
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 10.37
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.70
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -8.68
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) -17.93 37.53
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -37.81 -12,429.64
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 2,973.49 1,588.78
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 4.88
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -34.35 270.93
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 1,535.21 333.57
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -55.58 3,103.22
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -58.44 3,039.53
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -38.46 24.25
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -47.96 -80.08
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 38.19 51.33
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.07 0.42
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 -0.08
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 2.14 2.01
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.49 3.47
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.33 1.46
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) -17.93 37.53
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) -17.93 37.53
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 57.30 76.68
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -32.91 46.81
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -34.75 58.57
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 63.60 53.60
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -34.20 29.41