CG Oncology, Inc. (NASDAQ: CGON)

Sector: Healthcare Industry: Biotechnology CIK: 0001991792
Market Cap 3.11 Bn
P/B 4.53
P/E -20.55
P/S 1,432.19
ROIC (Qtr) -26.37
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 3,774.42
Total Debt (Qtr) 7.24 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.01

About

CG Oncology, Inc. (CGON) is a late-stage clinical biopharmaceutical company operating in the healthcare industry, with a specific focus on developing and commercializing a potential bladder-sparing therapeutic for patients with bladder cancer. The company's product candidate, cretostimogene, is an engineered oncolytic immunotherapy designed to selectively replicate in retinoblastoma (Rb) gene pathway-defective cells present in the majority of urothelial carcinomas and trigger an anti-tumor immune response. CG Oncology's main business activities...

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Price action

Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 45.15M provide 49.50x coverage of short-term debt 912000, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 715.44M provides 98.80x coverage of total debt 7.24M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Strong free cash flow of (117.13M) provides 5.33x coverage of acquisition spending (21.97M), indicating disciplined M&A strategy.
  • Short-term investments of 635.12M provide solid 31.10x coverage of other current liabilities 20.42M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Tangible assets of 715.44M provide robust 35.03x coverage of other current liabilities 20.42M, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of (116.79M) barely covers its investment activities of (159.41M), with a coverage ratio of 0.73, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (159.41M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 113.48M, which is -1.40x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 45.15M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (21.97M), which is -2.06x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Short-term investments of 635.12M significantly exceed cash reserves of 45.15M, which is 14.07x, indicating potentially excessive yield-seeking behavior at the expense of liquidity.
  • The company's operating cash flow of (116.79M) shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 24.48M, with a -4.77 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Biotechnology
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SMMT Summit Therapeutics Inc. 1,446.17 Bn -1,569.17 0.00 0.01 Bn
2 ONC BeOne Medicines Ltd. 439.23 Bn 6,407.40 88.33 1.90 Bn
3 VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc / Ma 120.62 Bn 32.82 10.29 1.83 Bn
4 REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 84.40 Bn 18.44 5.92 2.71 Bn
5 ALNY Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 56.13 Bn 1,288.39 17.49 3.21 Bn
6 ARGX Argenx Se 47.89 Bn 31.79 24,973.95 -
7 BNTC Benitec Biopharma Inc. 42.45 Bn -1,015.00 0.00 0.00 Bn
8 INSM INSMED Inc 32.67 Bn -27.60 73.08 0.74 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 4.25 12.96
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO -26.54 23.73
EV to Debt EV to Debt 428.11 772.65
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT -20.46 -11.30
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA -17.27 7.11
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -26.47 22.12
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.00 68.89
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1,425.92 199.70
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 4.53 22.62
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E -20.55 -12.30
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 -12.02
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 0.17
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.01
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -0.15
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.00 857.11
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -1,244.00 -27.24
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 3.99 747.06
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.01
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -108.09 -48.21
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -87.08 -2.09
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -108.09 -57.79
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -108.09 -14.35
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 62.29 -30.88
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -61.06 -32.51
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -12.72 227.96
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.00 0.14
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.00
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.48 3.79
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 22.79 7.23
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.01 0.42
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 857.11
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.00 857.11
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) -6,939.80 -18,509.94
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) -6,967.99 -18,862.18
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) -6,967.99 -19,783.19
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 27.50 -8.62
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) -6,968.00 -19,732.60