Ardmore Shipping Corp (NYSE: ASC)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Marine Shipping CIK: 0001577437
Market Cap 568.64 Mn
P/B 0.90
P/E 15.76
P/S 1.83
ROIC (Qtr) 6.23
Div Yield % 1.43
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 1.06
Total Debt (Qtr) 128.87 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.20
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About

Ardmore Shipping Corp, known by its ticker symbol ASC, operates in the maritime transportation industry, specifically focusing on the seaborne transportation of petroleum products and chemicals worldwide. The company, incorporated in the Marshall Islands, has been in business since 2010 and went public in 2013. Ardmore Shipping Corp's primary business activities involve the transportation of petroleum products and chemicals, utilizing a fleet of 22 owned vessels and four chartered-in vessels. The company's fleet consists of Eco-design and Eco-mod...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 81.65M provides robust 0.63x coverage of total debt 128.87M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 46.84M provide 78.34x coverage of short-term debt 598000, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 788.72M provides 6.12x coverage of total debt 128.87M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 81.65M provides strong 29.06x coverage of stock compensation 2.81M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 81.65M provides exceptional 13.36x coverage of interest expenses 6.11M, showing strong debt service capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 81.65M barely covers its investment activities of (121M), with a coverage ratio of -0.67, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 81.65M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (12.19M) with a -6.70 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • High receivables of 47.54M relative to inventory of 8.91M (5.33 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (39.07M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 120.72M, with a -0.32 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 47.37M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 39.41M, with a 1.20 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Marine Shipping
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 KEX Kirby Corp 7.05 Bn 19.89 2.10 1.13 Bn
2 MATX Matson, Inc. 6.79 Bn 74.01 4.43 0.72 Bn
3 ZIM ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd. 3.36 Bn 3.35 0.44 5.66 Bn
4 HAFN Hafnia Ltd 3.35 Bn 10.82 1.51 0.89 Bn
5 BWLP BW LPG Ltd 2.38 Bn 10.97 0.67 1.09 Bn
6 SBLK Star Bulk Carriers Corp. 2.37 Bn 245.30 3.42 1.23 Bn
7 CMRE Costamare Inc. 2.05 Bn 6.81 1.69 1.58 Bn
8 DAC Danaos Corp 1.99 Bn 4.27 1.93 0.75 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.81 0.60
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 7.84 6.07
EV to Debt EV to Debt 4.96 60.45
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 13.51 4.74
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 7.39 5.76
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -16.38 5.00
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.13 29.59
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.06 2.00
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.90 1.07
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 15.76 13.80
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.11 2.47
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 22.50 68.67
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.20 1.18
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -20.79 105.16
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 7.75 -7.10
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -253.07 -33.98
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -0.30 25.96
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -81.48 9.12
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -66.31 -27.24
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -46.60 -36.36
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -66.17 -26.39
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -69.03 -36.07
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -71.20 -30.68
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -130.95 14.21
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -41.29 -7.09
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.39 0.63
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.06 0.08
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.81 1.33
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 4.33 2.15
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.20 0.73
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 7.75 -7.10
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 7.75 -7.10
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 28.00 27.36
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 15.27 17.95
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 13.30 10.77
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 36.00 37.00
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 11.60 9.28