Smith A O Corp (NYSE: AOS)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Specialty Industrial Machinery CIK: 0000091142
Market Cap 11.57 Bn
P/B 6.24
P/E 22.14
P/S 3.04
ROIC (Qtr) 27.62
Div Yield % 1.71
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 0.01
Total Debt (Qtr) 192.10 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.10
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About

A. O. Smith Corporation, known as AOS, is a prominent player in the manufacturing industry, specifically dealing with water heaters, boilers, and water treatment products. The company's operations are divided into two segments: North America and the Rest of the World. This essay aims to provide an overview of the company's business activities, its revenue generation methods, and its position within the industry. AOS has a rich history dating back to 1888, and its operations encompass the design, manufacturing, and marketing of a wide range of residential...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 616.80M provides robust 3.21x coverage of total debt 192.10M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 174.50M provide 4.13x coverage of short-term debt 42.30M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 616.80M provides exceptional 45.69x coverage of interest expenses 13.50M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Operating cash flow of 616.80M provides strong 44.70x coverage of stock compensation 13.80M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 2.07B provides 10.78x coverage of total debt 192.10M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 616.80M barely covers its investment activities of (53M), with a coverage ratio of -11.64, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 616.80M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (195.70M) with a -3.15 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of 546M represents just -14.52x of debt issuance (37.60M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.
  • Cash position of 174.50M provides weak coverage of payables of 504.10M, which is 0.35x, indicating potential working capital stress and supplier relationship risks.
  • Operating cash flow of 616.80M is outpaced by equity issuance of (399.80M) (-1.54 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Geographical Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Specialty Industrial Machinery
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 GEV GE Vernova Inc. 224.93 Bn 194.57 6.14 0.00 Bn
2 ETN Eaton Corp plc 153.13 Bn 38.99 5.75 11.22 Bn
3 PH Parker-Hannifin Corp 135.87 Bn 165.29 12.09 9.87 Bn
4 EMR Emerson Electric Co 111.68 Bn 47.10 4.65 13.41 Bn
5 ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc 86.68 Bn 28.27 5.40 8.97 Bn
6 CMI Cummins Inc 82.13 Bn 28.89 2.44 7.55 Bn
7 AME Ametek Inc/ 53.79 Bn 36.34 7.27 2.28 Bn
8 ROK Rockwell Automation, Inc 43.80 Bn 44.24 5.11 3.68 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 3.67 2.28
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 22.47 37.14
EV to Debt EV to Debt 60.10 34.39
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 16.54 27.71
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 15.01 25.34
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 28.40 133.36
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.00 1.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 3.04 39.88
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 6.24 6.22
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 22.14 143.63
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.79 2.57
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 35.70 15.73
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.40 0.91
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 35.71 82.53
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 53.97 12.34
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 34.44 -45.99
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -27.17 118.48
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 6.06 10.01
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 3.31 -283.03
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 4.51 -36.87
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 2.95 -80.72
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 2.01 -120.93
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 6.03 -39.22
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 15.24 85.55
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 2.15 0.87
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.22 0.62
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.28 0.10
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.20 3.01
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.50 4.97
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.10 0.38
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 53.97 12.34
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 53.97 12.34
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 21.20 -7,291.27
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 19.02 -7,413.30
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 18.67 -9,015.79
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 38.80 -32.61
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 14.30 -7,962.06