Amcor plc (NYSE: AMCR)

Sector: Consumer Cyclical Industry: Packaging & Containers CIK: 0001748790
Market Cap 22.55 Bn
P/B 1.94
P/E 37.83
P/S 1.15
ROIC (Qtr) 3.96
Div Yield % 2.60
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 68.13
Total Debt (Qtr) 16.02 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.38
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About

Amcor plc, a global leader in the packaging industry, trades under the ticker symbol AMCR. The company's operations span over 150 years, with its roots in both Australia and the United States. Amcor specializes in the production of flexible and rigid packaging, specialty cartons, and closures, making it a key player in various end-use markets across multiple regions globally. Amcor's primary business activities involve the development and production of flexible and rigid packaging solutions. The company operates in two main segments: Flexibles...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 1.06B provide 2.04x coverage of short-term debt 519M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.60B provides strong 18.19x coverage of stock compensation 88M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.60B provides exceptional 1601x coverage of minority interest expenses 1M, showing strong core operations.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 18.15B provides 9.16x coverage of working capital 1.98B, indicating strong operational backing.
  • Tangible assets of 18.15B provide robust 6.02x coverage of other current liabilities 3.01B, indicating strong asset backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.60B barely covers its investment activities of (2.41B), with a coverage ratio of -0.66, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (2.41B) provide weak support for R&D spending of 149M, which is -16.17x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.60B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (1.07B) with a -1.49 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 1.06B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (1.66B), which is -0.64x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating earnings of 1.25B show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 1.19B, with a 1.05 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Packaging & Containers
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SW Smurfit Westrock plc 25.68 Bn 34.34 0.82 14.11 Bn
2 BALL BALL Corp 24.44 Bn 53.45 3.32 7.21 Bn
3 PKG Packaging Corp Of America 23.43 Bn 162.41 8.65 4.36 Bn
4 AMCR Amcor plc 22.55 Bn 37.83 1.15 16.02 Bn
5 IP International Paper Co /New/ 21.35 Bn 25.41 0.79 12.54 Bn
6 AVY Avery Dennison Corp 17.24 Bn 50.23 2.79 3.78 Bn
7 CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. 14.99 Bn 31.43 1.77 6.60 Bn
8 SEE Sealed Air Corp/De 6.70 Bn 27.06 1.55 4.27 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.01 1.10
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 23.40 25.51
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.34 2.87
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 30.02 21.92
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 16.28 15.97
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 43.97 29.94
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.66 1.76
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.91 2.08
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.94 4.77
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 37.83 33.66
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.56 1.61
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 98.50 -152.30
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 1.29 1.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 69.92 -11.16
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.20 -4.81
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -64.62 -4.03
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 137.53 347.51
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) -50.38 21.24
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 1.79 20.83
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 25.12 23.56
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -6.59 -33.97
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -31.46 -493.51
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -52.54 36.84
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 6.90 -3.88
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 35.92 14.38
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.53 0.71
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.46 0.20
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.16 0.26
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 1.30 1.51
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.38 0.90
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.20 -4.81
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.20 -4.81
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 12.40 2.80
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 6.36 -2.91
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 3.48 -5.68
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 18.90 21.11
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 3.00 -6.77