Agree Realty Corp (NYSE: ADC)

Sector: Real Estate Industry: REIT - Retail CIK: 0000917251
Market Cap 5.53 Bn
P/B 1.50
P/E 44.48
P/S 15.36
ROIC (Qtr) 3.60
Div Yield % 3.72
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 18.51
Total Debt (Qtr) 3.29 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.53
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About

Agree Realty Corp, also known as ADC, is a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the ownership, acquisition, development, and management of retail properties leased to leading industry tenants. Established in 1971 by its current Executive Chairman, Richard Agree, the company's common stock is publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Agree Realty Corp operates in the competitive retail real estate sector, focusing on the acquisition, development, and operation of commercial properties. Agree Realty Corp's primary business...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 504.14M provides exceptional 787.71x coverage of minority interest expenses 640000, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 504.14M provides strong 38.81x coverage of stock compensation 12.99M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 504.14M provides 11.44x coverage of SG&A expenses 44.06M, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 8.80B provides 2.67x coverage of total debt 3.29B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Cash position of 20.62M provides exceptional 32.22x coverage of minority interest expenses 640000, indicating strong liquidity.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 504.14M barely covers its investment activities of (1.54B), with a coverage ratio of -0.33, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 504.14M provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (340.65M) with a -1.48 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Free cash flow of (1.04B) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 1.54B, with a -0.67 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 340.70M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 239.31M, with a 1.42 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.
  • High depreciation of 239.31M relative to operating cash flow of 504.14M, which is 0.47x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.

Peer comparison

Companies in the REIT - Retail
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SPG Simon Property Group Inc. 62.65 Bn 27.30 11.19 26.32 Bn
2 O Realty Income Corp 15.99 Bn 61.56 15.32 28.37 Bn
3 KIM Kimco Realty Corp 14.22 Bn 20.86 8.63 8.35 Bn
4 REG Regency Centers Corp 14.06 Bn 27.37 9.05 4.98 Bn
5 PECO Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. 11.82 Bn 3,838.00 46.61 2.38 Bn
6 FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust 8.00 Bn 23.50 8.55 5.03 Bn
7 EPRT Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. 6.41 Bn 25.34 11.42 2.51 Bn
8 ADC Agree Realty Corp 5.53 Bn 44.48 15.36 3.29 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.73 1.13
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 27.37 22.52
EV to Debt EV to Debt 2.18 2.49
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 39.17 42.49
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 23.81 19.89
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -6.10 27.13
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.30 461,431.31
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 19.92 13.31
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.50 3.17
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 44.48 177.24
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.57 0.69
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 173.70 169.12
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 3.09 2.32
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -32.95 -68.66
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.53 2.52
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -74.57 -12.09
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 222.27 68.41
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 2.90 13.80
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 14.26 224.52
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 13.84 0.11
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 12.66 222.92
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 6.50 290.94
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -1.12 273.30
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -129.99 -81.48
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 16.28 6.10
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.07 0.12
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.17 0.14
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.00
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.00
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.53 -2.59
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.53 2.52
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.53 2.52
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 80.70 78.58
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 47.42 45.34
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 28.69 25.50
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 88.00 73.99
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 27.40 23.85