Recession Probability was last reported at 0.60 % as of June 1, 2026. That is up 87.50% from the prior reading of 0.32 %. This indicator is reported Monthly and not seasonally adjusted, and is tracked under the Cycle category. The next scheduled release is September 1, 2026.
| Date | Value (%) |
|---|---|
| Jun 2026 | 0.60 |
| May 2026 | 0.54 |
| Apr 2026 | 0.26 |
| Mar 2026 | 0.32 |
| Feb 2026 | 0.16 |
| Jan 2026 | 0.18 |
| Dec 2025 | 0.12 |
| Nov 2025 | 0.48 |
| Oct 2025 | 1.16 |
| Sep 2025 | 0.92 |
| Date | Value (%) |
|---|---|
| Aug 2025 | 0.82 |
| Jul 2025 | 0.20 |
| Jun 2025 | 0.16 |
| May 2025 | 0.54 |
| Apr 2025 | 0.32 |
| Mar 2025 | 0.12 |
| Feb 2025 | 0.10 |
| Jan 2025 | 0.38 |
| Dec 2024 | 0.10 |
| Nov 2024 | 0.18 |