BBAI vs BKSY vs SPIR Stock Comparison

BigBear.ai Holdings, BlackSky Technology and Spire Global Prices as of Oct 23, 2026 Peers: Industry group
SPIR Spire Global, Inc.
$9.07 -25.7% 1M -17.8% 1Y
Market cap
$350.02M
P/E
6.4x
Revenue (TTM)
$65.73M
Div. yield
–
AI Platforms Technology
3 wins

Head to Head

9 decided of 12

BlackSky Technology leads on 4 of the 12 questions below (BlackSky Technology 4, Spire Global 3, BigBear.ai Holdings 2). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionBBAIBKSYSPIRLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $1.01B $686.25M $350.02M BBAI
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only -11.8x -10.3x 6.4x –
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS — — — –
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months -13.7% +4.1% -29.5% BKSY
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months -65.2% -61.2% 83.1% SPIR
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital -15.5% -13.4% — BKSY
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA 2.4x 1.7x — BKSY
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% –
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months -68.6% -23.1% -17.8% SPIR
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years — -25.3%/yr -27.3%/yr BKSY
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 76.8% 100.5% 100.3% BBAI
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 31/100 31/100 51/100 SPIR

Percentile Scorecard

BBAIBKSYSPIR

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisBBAIBKSYSPIR
Valuation 27 #91 of 124 24 #95 of 124 73 #34 of 124
Growth 12 #100 of 113 24 #86 of 113 28 #82 of 113
Profitability 26 #82 of 110 34 #73 of 110 59 #46 of 110
Financial Health 87 #18 of 129 48 #67 of 129 43 #74 of 129
Shareholder Returns 5 #65 of 68 24 #52 of 68 –
Overall 31 31 51
  • BBAI ranked among 137 companies in Infrastructure Software
  • BKSY ranked among 137 companies in Infrastructure Software
  • SPIR ranked among 137 companies in Infrastructure Software

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodBBAIBKSYSPIRSPY
1 month -25.5%-21.0%-25.7% -1.0%
3 months -23.1%-18.4%-17.5% +2.9%
6 months -42.4%-48.0%-45.1% +6.4%
Year to date -60.6%-6.2%+20.9% +11.4%
1 year -68.6%-23.1%-17.8% +13.1%
3 years +60.2%+61.6%+143.8% +79.4%
3 years, per year +17.0%+17.4%+34.6% +21.5%
5 years —-76.7%-79.6% +67.7%
5 years, per year —-25.3%-27.3% +10.9%

Risk

MeasureBBAIBKSYSPIRSPY
Volatility, 1Y 76.8%100.5%100.3% 12.7%
Downside volatility, 1Y 72.5%99.8%98.1% 12.7%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 3.233.073.26 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y -0.89-0.23-0.18 1.03
Max drawdown, 5Y -95.0%-95.2%-93.3% -25.4%
From 52-week high -70.3%-66.0%-64.4% -2.5%
52-week high $7.17$51.63$25.48 $779.14
52-week low $2.12$13.14$7.02 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleBBAIBKSYSPIR
P/E now vs peer median -11.9xmedian 37.4x -10.1xmedian 37.4x 6.4xmedian 37.4x
P/S now vs peer median 7.8xmedian 4.4x 6.6xmedian 4.4x 5.6xmedian 4.4x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median -5.6xmedian 35.0x -49.6xmedian 35.0x —median 35.0x
P/FCF now vs peer median -14.0xmedian 27.2x -6.3xmedian 27.2x —median 27.2x
P/B now vs peer median 1.3xmedian 3.4x 3.4xmedian 3.4x 2.6xmedian 3.4x
PEG now vs peer median -0.36median 1.27 -0.37median 1.27 0.20median 1.27

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsBBAIBKSYSPIR
Revenue $131.63M $108.92M $65.73M
Gross profit $36.75M $76.09M $26.61M
Operating income -$155.20M -$47.32M -$87.59M
Net income -$85.82M -$66.71M $54.85M
Free cash flow -$72.70M -$113.03M –
R&D $21.29M $632.00K $36.19M
EPS (diluted) $-0.18 $-1.74 $1.43
Cash & equivalents $36.28M $36.90M $38.81M
Total debt $16.64M $210.84M –
Shares (diluted) 479.12M 38.42M 38.30M
Enterprise value -$399.45M $65.61M -$37.80M

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricBBAIBKSYSPIR
P/E -11.9x -10.1x 6.4x
P/FCF -14.0x -6.3x –
P/Operating cash flow -14.3x -13.2x –
P/S 7.8x 6.6x 5.6x
P/B 1.3x 3.4x 2.6x
P/Tangible book 1.6x 3.4x 2.7x
EV/EBITDA -5.6x -49.6x –
EV/EBIT -4.6x -14.6x -3.2x
EV/Revenue 5.5x 6.3x 4.2x
EV/FCF -9.9x -6.1x –
EV/Operating cash flow -10.0x -12.8x –
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) -0.36 -0.37 0.20

Growth

14 metrics
MetricBBAIBKSYSPIR
Revenue growth (1Y) -13.7% 4.1% -29.5%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) -6.6% 13.7% -8.1%
Gross profit growth (1Y) -13.9% 5.2% -29.8%
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) -4.9% 20.0% 6.9%
Operating income growth (1Y) -19.2% -4.6% 6.7%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) -36.5% 14.1% -7.1%
Net income growth (1Y) 80.7% 22.5% 57.5%
Net income CAGR (3Y) 0.0% 5.3% 38.2%
EPS growth (1Y) 87.1% 34.5% 22.6%
EPS CAGR (3Y) 32.8% 27.7% 32.1%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) -163.0% -382.3% –
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) -19.7% -18.8% –
Free cash flow growth (1Y) -163.1% -405.5% –
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) -20.1% -12.6% –

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricBBAIBKSYSPIR
Gross margin 27.9% 69.9% 40.5%
EBITDA margin -97.7% -12.8% –
Operating margin -117.9% -43.4% -133.3%
Pretax margin -81.7% -61.2% 89.4%
Net margin -65.2% -61.2% 83.1%
FCF margin -55.2% -103.8% –
Operating cash flow margin -54.4% -49.7% –
Return on equity -11.0% -45.6% 42.7%
Return on assets -10.1% -15.0% 25.1%
Return on invested capital -15.5% -13.4% –
Return on capital employed -19.8% -12.1% -54.7%
Asset turnover 0.2x 0.2x 0.3x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 0.8x 0.8x –
Stock comp / revenue 15.0% 15.0% 25.6%

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricBBAIBKSYSPIR
Debt / assets 2.0% 40.8% –
Debt / equity 0.0x 1.0x –
Net debt / EBITDA 2.4x 1.7x –
Debt / FCF -0.2x -1.9x –
Liabilities / assets 8.4% 59.1% 36.3%
Equity / assets 91.6% 40.9% 63.7%
Interest coverage -16.9x -3.0x -51.9x
Current ratio 5.7x 5.8x 1.9x
Quick ratio 5.3x 5.4x 1.8x
Cash ratio 4.9x 4.4x 1.6x
Altman Z-score 7.04 -0.20 -1.32

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricBBAIBKSYSPIR
Dividend yield – – –
Net buyback yield -33.5% -1.9% –
Shareholder yield -33.5% -1.9% –
Payout ratio (earnings) – – –
Payout ratio (FCF) – – –
Dividend growth (1Y) – – –
Dividend CAGR (3Y) – – –

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusBBAIBKSYSPIR
EPS, next fiscal year $-0.25FY2026 $-1.43FY2026 $-1.24FY2026
Revenue, next fiscal year $140.77MFY2026 $136.05MFY2026 $76.07MFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY +10.3%FY2026 +27.6%FY2026 +6.2%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after +23.8% +48.6% +39.3%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersBBAIBKSYSPIR
Held by institutions 39.1% 77.7% 55.0%
Institutions holding 328 227 131
Change in shares held, QoQ +1.0% +33.1% +62.9%
Institutions buying 185 152 95
Institutions selling 90 46 21
Buyers to sellers 2.06 3.30 4.52

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

BBAIBKSYSPIR
BBAI 1.00 0.51 0.47
BKSY 0.51 1.00 0.65
SPIR 0.47 0.65 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, BBAI, BKSY and SPIR?

BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) is the largest by market capitalisation: BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) $1.01B, BlackSky Technology (BKSY) $686.25M, Spire Global (SPIR) $350.02M.

Which company is growing faster?

BlackSky Technology (BKSY) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) -13.7%, BlackSky Technology (BKSY) +4.1%, Spire Global (SPIR) -29.5%.

Which company is more profitable?

Spire Global (SPIR) has the highest net margin (BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) -65.2%, BlackSky Technology (BKSY) -61.2%, Spire Global (SPIR) 83.1%). On return on invested capital, BlackSky Technology (BKSY) leads (BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) -15.5%, BlackSky Technology (BKSY) -13.4%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Spire Global (SPIR) returned the most: BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) -68.6%, BlackSky Technology (BKSY) -23.1%, Spire Global (SPIR) -17.8%. Over five years, BlackSky Technology (BKSY) compounded fastest (BlackSky Technology (BKSY) -25.3%/yr, Spire Global (SPIR) -27.3%/yr). Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) has been the steadiest (BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) 76.8%, BlackSky Technology (BKSY) 100.5%, Spire Global (SPIR) 100.3%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Which is the better stock, BBAI, BKSY and SPIR?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, BlackSky Technology (BKSY) leads on 4. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.