ARX vs PGR Stock Comparison

Accelerant Holdings and Progressive Prices as of Oct 23, 2026 Peers: Industry group
ARX Accelerant Holdings
$19.77 +0.2% 1M +59.4% 1Y
Market cap
$4.33B
P/E
–
Revenue (TTM)
$1.15B
Div. yield
–
Property and Casualty Insurance Financial Services
2 wins
PGR Progressive Corp/Oh/
$228.03 +12.2% 1M +3.4% 1Y
Market cap
$133.64B
P/E
11.4x
Revenue (TTM)
$91.06B
Div. yield
0.06%
Property and Casualty Insurance Financial Services
7 wins

Head to Head

9 decided of 12

Progressive leads on 7 of the 12 questions below (Progressive 7, Accelerant Holdings 2). Which ones matter depends on what you are buying for; a cheap multiple and slow growth often come together.

QuestionARXPGRLeader
Larger companyMarket capitalisation $4.33B $133.64B PGR
Cheaper on earningsLower P/E, profitable companies only -3.2x 11.4x –
Cheaper on forward earningsLower price / next fiscal year consensus EPS 23.0x 12.9x PGR
Faster revenue growthRevenue growth, trailing twelve months +54.6% +10.5% ARX
More profitableNet margin, trailing twelve months -119.3% 12.8% PGR
Better return on capitalReturn on invested capital -179.7% -78.4% PGR
Less leveragedLower net debt / EBITDA 1.0x -0.1x PGR
Higher dividend yieldTrailing dividend yield 0.00% 0.06% –
Better 1-year returnPrice return, last 12 months +59.4% +3.4% ARX
Better 5-year returnAnnualised price return, 5 years — +19.0%/yr –
Less volatileAnnualised volatility, 1 year 67.4% 27.7% PGR
Higher overall scoreMean of the five percentile scores vs peers 12/100 57/100 PGR

Percentile Scorecard

ARXPGR

Each axis is the mean percentile of its metrics against the company's industry group. 100 is the best in the group, 50 the middle.

Scores by Axis

AxisARXPGR
Valuation 0 #119 of 119 36 #77 of 119
Growth 10 #106 of 117 61 #46 of 117
Profitability 3 #113 of 117 57 #51 of 117
Financial Health 29 #84 of 118 59 #49 of 118
Shareholder Returns 19 #88 of 108 71 #32 of 108
Overall 12 57
  • ARX ranked among 126 companies in Insurance
  • PGR ranked among 126 companies in Insurance

Price Performance

Price return, split-adjusted, before dividends. Click a name to hide or show it.

Returns

PeriodARXPGRSPY
1 month +0.2%+12.2% -1.0%
3 months +38.8%+6.6% +2.9%
6 months +50.6%+13.5% +6.4%
Year to date +20.9%+0.1% +11.4%
1 year +59.4%+3.4% +13.1%
3 years —+45.9% +79.4%
3 years, per year —+13.4% +21.5%
5 years —+138.5% +67.7%
5 years, per year —+19.0% +10.9%
10 years —+615.3% +255.2%
10 years, per year —+21.7% +13.5%

Risk

MeasureARXPGRSPY
Volatility, 1Y 67.4%27.7% 12.7%
Downside volatility, 1Y 59.8%29.8% 12.7%
Beta vs S&P 500, 1Y 0.06-0.52 1.00
Return / volatility, 1Y 0.880.12 1.03
Max drawdown, 5Y -68.9%-34.6% -25.4%
From 52-week high -0.6%-3.5% -2.5%
52-week high $19.89$236.36 $779.14
52-week low $9.36$190.40 $631.97

Valuation History

Weekly multiples on trailing twelve-month fundamentals. Negative or extreme readings (a loss year, a collapsed denominator) are left out so the chart stays readable.

MultipleARXPGR
P/E now vs peer median -3.2xmedian 10.5x 11.4xmedian 10.5x
P/S now vs peer median 3.7xmedian 1.4x 1.5xmedian 1.4x
EV/EBITDA now vs peer median -1.8xmedian 8.0x -3.3xmedian 8.0x
P/FCF now vs peer median 93.6xmedian 8.4x 8.3xmedian 8.4x
P/B now vs peer median 5.8xmedian 1.5x 3.9xmedian 1.5x
PEG now vs peer median —median 0.47 0.13median 0.47

Financial History

Reported figures by fiscal period, placed on the calendar year (or quarter) each period ended in, so companies with different fiscal years line up.

Trailing twelve monthsARXPGR
Revenue $1.15B $91.06B
Gross profit $885.00M $35.11B
Operating income -$1.53B -$41.17B
Net income -$1.28B $11.70B
Free cash flow $45.80M $15.95B
EPS (diluted) $-6.22 $20.02
Cash & equivalents $1.66B $193.00M
Total debt $120.10M $8.39B
Shares (diluted) 219.69M 584.20M
Enterprise value -$2.34B $109.48B

All Metrics

58 metrics · best in bold

Bold marks the best reading: the lowest positive value for multiples, leverage and payout, the highest for everything else. The bar under each value is its percentile against that company's own peers. Hover a value for its rank and the peer median.

Valuation

12 metrics
MetricARXPGR
P/E -3.2x 11.4x
P/FCF 93.6x 8.3x
P/Operating cash flow 93.6x 8.1x
P/S 3.7x 1.5x
P/B 5.8x 3.9x
P/Tangible book 5.8x 3.9x
EV/EBITDA -1.8x -3.3x
EV/EBIT -1.8x -3.3x
EV/Revenue 2.4x 1.5x
EV/FCF 60.1x 8.5x
EV/Operating cash flow 60.1x 8.3x
PEG (3Y EPS CAGR) – 0.13

Growth

14 metrics
MetricARXPGR
Revenue growth (1Y) 54.6% 10.5%
Revenue CAGR (3Y) – 17.7%
Gross profit growth (1Y) 61.0% 15.1%
Gross profit CAGR (3Y) – –
Operating income growth (1Y) -1,080% -6.2%
Operating income CAGR (3Y) – –
Net income growth (1Y) -2,833% 12.1%
Net income CAGR (3Y) – 88.6%
EPS growth (1Y) -2,986% 12.8%
EPS CAGR (3Y) – 90.0%
Operating cash flow growth (1Y) -94.5% -2.7%
Operating cash flow CAGR (3Y) – 28.3%
Free cash flow growth (1Y) -94.5% -3.2%
Free cash flow CAGR (3Y) – 28.9%

Profitability

14 metrics
MetricARXPGR
Gross margin 77.2% 38.6%
EBITDA margin -130.1% -44.9%
Operating margin -133.6% -45.2%
Pretax margin -110.8% 16.2%
Net margin -119.3% 12.8%
FCF margin 4.0% 17.5%
Operating cash flow margin 4.0% 17.9%
Return on equity -176.3% 35.2%
Return on assets -14.7% 9.5%
Return on invested capital -179.7% -78.4%
Return on capital employed – –
Asset turnover 0.1x 0.7x
Cash conversion (OCF / net income) 0.0x 1.4x
Stock comp / revenue 7.8% 0.1%

Financial Health

11 metrics
MetricARXPGR
Debt / assets 1.3% 6.7%
Debt / equity 0.2x 0.2x
Net debt / EBITDA 1.0x -0.1x
Debt / FCF 2.6x 0.5x
Liabilities / assets 91.7% 72.5%
Equity / assets 8.3% 27.5%
Interest coverage -143.1x -138.6x
Current ratio – –
Quick ratio – –
Cash ratio – –
Altman Z-score – –

Shareholder Returns

7 metrics
MetricARXPGR
Dividend yield – 6.1%
Net buyback yield 1.9% 0.8%
Shareholder yield 1.9% 6.9%
Payout ratio (earnings) – 69.7%
Payout ratio (FCF) – 51.1%
Dividend growth (1Y) – 183.8%
Dividend CAGR (3Y) – 226.5%

Analyst Estimates

Solid lines are reported fiscal-year results; dashed lines are the consensus for the years ahead. Hover a year for the analysts' high and low, and how each result compared with its estimate.

ConsensusARXPGR
Forward P/E 23.0xFY2026 12.9xFY2026
EPS, next fiscal year $0.86FY2026 $17.67FY2026
EPS growth, next FY -8.5%FY2026 -2.2%FY2026
EPS growth, the year after +11.6% -11.3%
Revenue, next fiscal year $1.18BFY2026 $92.08BFY2026
Revenue growth, next FY +28.8%FY2026 +10.7%FY2026
Revenue growth, the year after +9.6% -5.0%

Institutional Ownership

13F filings, quarter ended Jun 30, 2026
HoldersARXPGR
Held by institutions 54.5% 87.2%
Institutions holding 118 1,822
Change in shares held, QoQ +16.0% +0.5%
Institutions buying 80 892
Institutions selling 27 694
Buyers to sellers 2.96 1.29

Return Correlation

Daily returns, last 12 months

1.00 means two stocks move in lockstep, 0 that they move independently. Pairs below about 0.5 diversify each other.

ARXPGR
ARX 1.00 0.25
PGR 0.25 1.00

Add a Peer

Largest companies in the same industry

Related Comparisons

Frequently Asked Questions

Which is bigger, ARX and PGR?

Progressive (PGR) is the largest by market capitalisation: Accelerant Holdings (ARX) $4.33B, Progressive (PGR) $133.64B.

Which company is growing faster?

Accelerant Holdings (ARX) grew revenue fastest over the trailing twelve months: Accelerant Holdings (ARX) +54.6%, Progressive (PGR) +10.5%.

Which company is more profitable?

Progressive (PGR) has the highest net margin (Accelerant Holdings (ARX) -119.3%, Progressive (PGR) 12.8%). On return on invested capital, Progressive (PGR) leads (Accelerant Holdings (ARX) -179.7%, Progressive (PGR) -78.4%).

Which stock has performed better?

Over the past year Accelerant Holdings (ARX) returned the most: Accelerant Holdings (ARX) +59.4%, Progressive (PGR) +3.4%. Returns are price only, before dividends.

Which pays a higher dividend?

Only one of these companies pays a dividend: Accelerant Holdings (ARX) 0.00%, Progressive (PGR) 0.06%. Accelerant Holdings (ARX) pays no regular dividend.

Which stock is riskier?

By one-year price volatility, Progressive (PGR) has been the steadiest (Accelerant Holdings (ARX) 67.4%, Progressive (PGR) 27.7%). Volatility measures how widely the price swings, not the risk of the business.

Do ARX and PGR move together?

Their daily returns over the past year have a correlation of 0.25, a weak relationship. Holding both diversifies more than two closely linked stocks would.

Which is the better stock, ARX and PGR?

There is no single answer; it depends on what you are buying for. On the 12 head-to-head measures on this page, Progressive (PGR) leads on 7. Business Quant does not give investment advice; use the comparison as a starting point for your own research.

Data from SEC filings, exchange prices and consensus estimates, via Business Quant. Percentile scores compare each company with its own peer group, so two companies' scores are each relative to different peers unless you rank against the whole market. Price returns exclude dividends. Nothing on this page is investment advice.