Soluna Holdings
NASDAQ: SLNHP
$9.15 ▼ -0.35  (-3.71%)
At close: Jul 14, 2026 · 3:52 PM UTC
Financial Ratios
ROIC (Qtr)-0.02
Total Debt (Qtr)25.95 Mn
Revenue Growth (1y) (Qtr)58.25
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About

Soluna Holdings Inc develops owns and operates digital infrastructure for energy intensive computing applications by colocating data centers with renewable energy power plants. The company calls this approach Renewable Computing and targets Bitcoin mining artificial intelligence and high performance computing workloads. It uses two data center designs a modular design for Bitcoin operations and an AI ready design for higher density compute environments. Its proprietary…

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Sector: Financial Services Industry: Capital Markets CIK: 0000064463

Investment Thesis

▲ Bull case
  • Soluna’s strategic vertical integration through the acquisition of the Briscoe Wind Farm and full ownership of Project Dorothy 1A provides a durable competitive advantage by securing low-cost, renewable power at the source, eliminating exposure to volatile grid electricity prices and enabling behind-the-meter operations that significantly improve unit economics for both Bitcoin mining and AI workloads. This vertical integration allows Soluna to capture the full value chain from energy generation to compute output, a model that is difficult for competitors relying on third-party power purchase agreements or grid-tied facilities to replicate, especially as energy costs remain a primary expense in data center operations. With Dorothy 1A now fully owned and Dorothy 1B expanding via partnerships with Blockware and Sazmining, the Dorothy campus is evolving into a scalable, AI-ready platform, positioning Soluna to capture growing demand for sustainable high-performance computing while leveraging its proprietary MaestroOS™ software to optimize energy utilization and grid responsiveness. The company’s development pipeline exceeding 4.3 gigawatts across multiple sites signals substantial long-term capacity potential, with Dorothy 3 alone targeting up to 300 MW for AI workloads — a scale that could transform Soluna from a niche Bitcoin miner into a major player in the renewable-powered AI infrastructure market if execution continues on track.
  • Despite reporting a GAAP net loss of $17.9 million in Q1 FY26, Soluna demonstrated strong operational momentum with 58% year-over-year revenue growth to $9.4 million and four consecutive quarters of sequential revenue growth, driven by Dorothy 1A returning to full capacity, Dorothy 2 ramping fully, and Kati 1 now contributing — indicating that the company is successfully executing its phased rollout strategy and beginning to realize operating leverage from its expanding asset base. The rise in adjusted EBITDA losses to $2.1 million from $1.6 million year-over-year is largely attributable to a $8.4 million increase in stock-based compensation, a non-cash expense tied to equity awards issued to attract and retain talent during a critical scaling phase, rather than deteriorating core operations; excluding this, core project-level profitability improved, with Dorothy 1A, Dorothy 2, and Sophie all generating positive gross profit in Q1 FY26 versus mixed results in Q1 FY25, reflecting better utilization and cost control across the portfolio. Furthermore, the company’s ability to generate $6.7 million in data hosting revenue — up 178% year-over-year — signals successful diversification beyond volatile cryptocurrency mining into more stable, contracted AI and enterprise workloads, reducing revenue concentration risk and enhancing predictability as AI demand continues to surge.
  • Soluna’s recent Nasdaq compliance achievement, where shares maintained a minimum bid price of $1.00 or greater for 16 consecutive trading days in April 2026, removes a significant overhang on the stock and reflects improving investor confidence in the company’s operational progress, even as it continues to invest aggressively in growth. This compliance milestone, achieved through disciplined execution and balance sheet management — including $68.6 million in cash and restricted cash as of March 31, 2026 — suggests that Soluna is not only meeting regulatory requirements but also building the financial resilience needed to fund its capital-intensive expansion without excessive dilution. The appointment of Michael Picchi as CFO, bringing over 30 years of finance leadership experience from TECFusions, GCX, and Comverge — with deep expertise in capital formation, M&A, and scaling infrastructure-adjacent businesses — strengthens the company’s ability to navigate complex financing structures, optimize its capital strategy, and support upcoming transactions like the Dorothy 1A acquisition financing via a $12 million promissory note, all of which are critical as Soluna transitions from development to revenue-generating scale.
▼ Bear case
  • Soluna’s financial performance remains deeply challenged by persistent GAAP losses and widening deficits, with Q1 FY26 net loss more than doubling year-over-year to $17.9 million and adjusted EBITDA deteriorating to -$2.1 million from -$1.6 million, despite revenue growth, indicating that the company’s scaling efforts are currently outpacing its ability to achieve profitability at the operating level; the surge in general and administrative expenses to $18.5 million in Q1 FY26 from $8.4 million year-over-year — driven largely by a $10.2 million increase in stock-based compensation — raises concerns about excessive dilution and inefficient cost structure as the company grows, particularly when core revenue of $9.4 million fails to cover even basic operating overhead before depreciation and interest.
  • The company’s reliance on volatile cryptocurrency mining revenue, which still accounted for 23% of total revenue in Q1 FY26 ($2.2 million), exposes Soluna to significant downside risk from Bitcoin price fluctuations and mining difficulty increases, especially as Dorothy 1B — its primary mining site — showed zero data hosting revenue and only minimal demand response income, suggesting underutilization or delayed transition to higher-margin AI workloads; while management touts expansion into AI via Dorothy 3 and Kati 2, there is limited concrete evidence of near-term AI revenue generation, with Q1 FY26 showing $0 in high-performance computing service revenue versus $28,000 in Q1 FY25, calling into question the pace and viability of its AI pivot amid intense competition from established players like CoreWeave, Lambda Labs, and hyperscalers investing billions in AI infrastructure.
  • Soluna’s balance sheet reveals growing financial leverage and off-balance-sheet risks, with long-term debt at $15.9 million and current portion of debt at $10.0 million as of March 31, 2026, creating near-term repayment pressure amid ongoing losses, while the $19.3 million contract termination liability — unchanged from December 2025 — signals potential unresolved obligations or contingent risks tied to prior agreements that could materialize if project timelines slip or partnerships underperform; furthermore, the company’s dependence on non-controlling interest financing, which contributed $10.9 million in Q1 FY26 cash flow from financing activities, highlights structural reliance on external partners to fund growth, raising concerns about true ownership economics and potential conflicts of interest as Soluna seeks to consolidate full control of the Dorothy campus — a process already complicated by the $16.5 million Dorothy 1A acquisition financed partially via a $12 million promissory note maturing in 2027, adding to debt burden without clear near-term cash flow generation from the asset to service it.

Product and Service Breakdown of Revenue (2025)

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