Roku, Inc (NASDAQ: ROKU)

Sector: Communication Services Industry: Entertainment CIK: 0001428439
Market Cap 13.05 Bn
P/B 4.91
P/E 147.63
P/S 2.75
ROIC (Qtr) -0.16
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 16.14
Total Debt (Qtr) 435.90 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.16
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About

Roku, Inc., commonly referred to as Roku, is a leading TV streaming platform in the United States, with a mission to be the global TV streaming platform that connects and benefits the entire TV ecosystem of viewers, content partners, and advertisers. The company, founded in 2002 and headquartered in San Jose, California, is known for its innovative streaming devices, including Roku streaming players and Roku TV models, designed to provide a seamless and enjoyable streaming experience for users. Roku's business model is built on a three-phased approach:...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 483.72M provides robust 1.11x coverage of total debt 435.90M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Operating cash flow of 483.72M provides exceptional 253.79x coverage of interest expenses 1.91M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 3.91B provides 8.96x coverage of total debt 435.90M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 478.44M exceeds capital expenditure of 5.28M by 90.61x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Tangible assets of 3.91B provide exceptional 26.08x coverage of deferred revenue 149.76M, showing strong service capability backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 483.72M barely covers its investment activities of (782.37M), with a coverage ratio of -0.62, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Investment activities of (782.37M) provide weak support for R&D spending of 729.48M, which is -1.07x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 1.59B provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (95.09M), which is -16.69x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • High receivables of 879.87M relative to inventory of 114.64M (7.67 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 483.72M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 354.17M, with a 1.37 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Entertainment
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NFLX Netflix Inc 327.73 Bn 29.84 7.25 14.46 Bn
2 DIS Walt Disney Co 189.70 Bn 15.48 1.98 46.64 Bn
3 WBD Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. 69.72 Bn 143.75 1.84 33.52 Bn
4 FWONA Liberty Media Corp 47.92 Bn -360.29 11.86 7.04 Bn
5 LYV Live Nation Entertainment, Inc. 36.52 Bn 113.33 1.49 9.39 Bn
6 FOXA Fox Corp 25.29 Bn 13.37 1.53 6.60 Bn
7 TKO TKO Group Holdings, Inc. 17.11 Bn 74.78 3.94 4.04 Bn
8 WMG Warner Music Group Corp. 15.79 Bn 51.77 2.29 4.61 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 2.69 1.66
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 24.66 62.29
EV to Debt EV to Debt 27.36 109.28
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 124.49 39.52
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 35.61 34.66
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 24.93 -404.99
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.91 66.45
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 2.52 9.91
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 4.91 1.28
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 147.63 -73.83
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 0.70
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 -15.94
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 8.07
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 50.26 -6.37
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -4.33 -70.97
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -26.53 2,377.97
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.12
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 169.92 -39.96
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 176.25 46.99
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 180.14 5.64
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 178.28 42.15
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 167.42 45.80
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 124.64 -77.13
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 14.89 -0.66
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.07 0.57
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.04
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.28 0.48
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.75 1.21
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.16 1.02
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 50.26 -6.37
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 50.26 -6.37
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 9.20 -64.81
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 2.02 -79.12
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 1.98 -82.05
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 43.80 35.80
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 1.90 -82.69