Pinnacle West Capital Corp (NYSE: PNW)

Sector: Utilities Industry: Utilities - Regulated Electric CIK: 0000764622
Market Cap 11.13 Bn
P/B 1.91
P/E 17.56
P/S 3.17
ROIC (Qtr) 4.14
Div Yield % 4.92
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 2.94
Total Debt (Qtr) 12.33 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.37
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About

Pinnacle West Capital Corp (PNW) operates in the utilities industry, primarily through its subsidiary, Arizona Public Service Company (APS). APS is a vertically-integrated electric utility that provides retail or wholesale electric service to most of Arizona. Its other subsidiaries include El Dorado, PNW Power, and 4CA. APS's main business activities involve generating and distributing electricity to its customers. The company operates in the regulated electricity segment, which includes traditional retail and wholesale electricity businesses,...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.77B provides exceptional 102.64x coverage of minority interest expenses 17.22M, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.77B provides strong 63.49x coverage of stock compensation 27.84M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Tangible assets of 29.20B provide robust 30.41x coverage of other current liabilities 960.14M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.77B provides strong 3.28x coverage of inventory 538.69M, indicating efficient inventory management.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.77B provides solid 0.75x coverage of current liabilities 2.37B, showing strong operational health.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 1.77B barely covers its investment activities of (2.30B), with a coverage ratio of -0.77, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 29.01M against inventory of 538.69M, the 0.05 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 1.77B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (415.54M) with a -4.25 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Cash reserves of 29.01M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of 20M, which is 1.45x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Free cash flow of (477.22M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 2.25B, with a -0.21 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.

Legal Entity Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Utilities - Regulated Electric
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 NEE Nextera Energy Inc 191.44 Bn 28.01 6.98 95.62 Bn
2 SO Southern Co 97.42 Bn 30.98 4.46 73.75 Bn
3 AEP American Electric Power Co Inc 64.38 Bn 33.83 4.24 0.00 Bn
4 DUK Duke Energy CORP 56.47 Bn 30.61 3.87 89.65 Bn
5 EXC Exelon Corp 48.53 Bn 17.53 2.00 50.08 Bn
6 ETR Entergy Corp /De/ 45.74 Bn 25.29 3.59 30.45 Bn
7 PEG Public Service Enterprise Group Inc 43.93 Bn 35.35 4.41 23.51 Bn
8 XEL Xcel Energy Inc 41.10 Bn 37.21 3.75 35.52 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.60 1.01
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 19.95 12.45
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.45 171.92
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 20.52 19.12
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 12.31 15.67
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -53.62 -28.25
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.60 1.84
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 5.07 4.72
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.91 2.60
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 17.56 18.53
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.43 1.94
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 72.40 62.23
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 3.59 2.02
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) -89.87 -218.37
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.74 2.83
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -15.40 -68.90
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -41.00 73.92
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 1.41 4.05
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 0.93 15.47
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 3.93 13.33
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 0.54 15.81
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -3.83 19.29
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -8.50 21.26
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -18.91 -35.52
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 4.24 11.97
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.18 0.22
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.10 0.11
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.01 0.98
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.84 2.72
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.37 1.45
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.74 2.83
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.74 2.83
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 39.20 37.94
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 20.80 316.94
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 13.21 14.36
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 36.80 41.20
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 11.20 12.57