Altria Group, Inc. (NYSE: MO)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Tobacco CIK: 0000764180
Market Cap 132.50 Bn
P/B 30.15
P/E 30.66
P/S 5.43
ROIC (Qtr) 38.62
Div Yield % 4.48
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -2.99
Total Debt (Qtr) 25.70 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) -9.71
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About

Altria Group, Inc., often recognized by its stock symbol MO, is a major player in the tobacco industry, with operations spanning across the United States and international markets. The company's offerings include a diverse range of tobacco products, such as cigarettes, cigars, moist smokeless tobacco, snus, and oral nicotine pouches. These products are marketed under popular brand names like Marlboro, Black & Mild, Copenhagen, Skoal, and NJOY, among others. Altria's primary business activities revolve around the production and distribution of these...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Healthy cash reserves of 3.47B provide 2.21x coverage of short-term debt 1.57B, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 9.19B exceeds capital expenditure of 171M by 53.73x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Strong operating cash flow of 9.36B provides 3.78x coverage of SG&A expenses 2.47B, showing efficient operational cost management.
  • Retained earnings of 36.12B provide full 1.50x coverage of long-term debt 24.13B, indicating strong internal capital position.
  • Operating cash flow of 9.36B fully covers other non-current liabilities 5.19B by 1.80x, showing strong long-term stability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 9.36B barely covers its investment activities of (202M), with a coverage ratio of -46.33, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 9.36B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (6.91B) with a -1.35 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • High financing cash flow of (7.59B) relative to working capital of (3.17B), which is 2.40x suggests concerning dependence on external funding for operational needs.
  • Long-term investments of 8.38B represent a high 5.19x of fixed assets 1.62B, indicating potential overexposure to financial assets versus operational capabilities.
  • Retained earnings of 36.12B provide limited buffer against comprehensive income items of (2.71B), which is -13.33x, indicating elevated exposure to market risks.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Tobacco
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 PM Philip Morris International Inc. 286.67 Bn 25.26 7.05 48.84 Bn
2 MO Altria Group, Inc. 132.50 Bn 30.66 5.43 25.70 Bn
3 BTI British American Tobacco p.l.c. 130.31 Bn 12.42 3.77 47.39 Bn
4 RLX RLX Technology Inc. 2.87 Bn 26.73 5.63 0.02 Bn
5 TPB Turning Point Brands, Inc. 2.19 Bn 81.36 10.62 0.30 Bn
6 UVV Universal Corp /Va/ 1.32 Bn 20.69 0.66 1.11 Bn
7 ISPR Ispire Technology Inc. 0.17 Bn -4.78 1.75 0.01 Bn
8 XXII 22nd Century Group, Inc. 0.00 Bn -0.15 0.08 0.00 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 4.08 1.74
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 30.44 36.76
EV to Debt EV to Debt 5.56 0.92
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 19.08 12.10
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 18.21 31.94
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 31.45 53.50
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.08 -53.22
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 5.85 3.60
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 30.15 5.34
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 30.66 21.35
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 1.28 1.31
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 78.60 37.42
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 4.12 1.81
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 75.33 42.94
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 10.96 -12.36
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -15.54 14.47
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 83.03 49.35
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 4.04 2.17
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -11.68 30.18
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -0.27 2.41
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -19.86 30.58
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -21.76 17.61
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -11.64 19.96
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 8.20 -140.66
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 1.77 -1.72
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.67 0.56
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.73 0.28
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.42 0.92
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 0.62 2.85
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) -9.71 -1.43
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 10.96 -12.36
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 10.96 -12.36
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 51.30 -38.32
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 50.08 -36.97
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 45.51 -48.97
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 62.00 26.54
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 37.90 -54.22