Stride, Inc. (NYSE: LRN)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Education & Training Services CIK: 0001157408
Market Cap 3.61 Bn
P/B 2.33
P/E 11.32
P/S 1.43
ROIC (Qtr) 14.26
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 7.50
Total Debt (Qtr) 556.27 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.36
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About

Stride, Inc., a technology company with the stock symbol STRD, operates in the online education industry within the United States. The company's main business activities revolve around delivering an educational platform to facilitate online learning for students in various grade levels. Stride's comprehensive school-as-a-service offering supports clients in operating full-time virtual schools in the K-12 market. Stride operates in two primary segments: General Education and Career Learning. The General Education segment focuses on core subjects...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 247.51M provides robust 0.44x coverage of total debt 556.27M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Healthy cash reserves of 497.10M provide 7.95x coverage of short-term debt 62.53M, demonstrating strong liquidity position and minimal refinancing risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 247.51M provides exceptional 21.77x coverage of interest expenses 11.37M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 1.91B provides 3.43x coverage of total debt 556.27M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 179.43M exceeds capital expenditure of 68.08M by 2.64x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 247.51M barely covers its investment activities of (87M), with a coverage ratio of -2.85, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Cash reserves of 497.10M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (70.03M), which is -7.10x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • High receivables of 868.96M relative to inventory of 17.94M (48.43 ratio) suggests aggressive credit terms or collection difficulties, potentially masking revenue quality issues.
  • High depreciation of 129.37M relative to operating cash flow of 247.51M, which is 0.52x suggests significant maintenance capital requirements affecting free cash flow.
  • Free cash flow of 179.43M represents just -3.54x of debt issuance (50.69M), suggesting concerning reliance on leverage rather than internal cash generation for growth.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Education & Training Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 EDU New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. 9.35 Bn 24.58 1.82 0.78 Bn
2 TAL TAL Education Group 6.18 Bn 22.22 2.20 0.38 Bn
3 GHC Graham Holdings Co 5.47 Bn 12.27 1.91 1.17 Bn
4 LAUR Laureate Education, Inc. 5.20 Bn 25.55 3.29 0.44 Bn
5 LOPE Grand Canyon Education, Inc. 4.62 Bn 21.85 4.23 0.11 Bn
6 LRN Stride, Inc. 3.61 Bn 11.32 1.43 0.56 Bn
7 ATGE Covista Inc. 3.46 Bn 13.66 1.83 0.73 Bn
8 PRDO PERDOCEO EDUCATION Corp 2.84 Bn 42.39 1.73 0.06 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 1.60 0.71
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 14.87 6.80
EV to Debt EV to Debt 6.62 11.15
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 8.62 112.78
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 6.91 6.48
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 20.51 5.57
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.02 582,173.64
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.46 1.74
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 2.33 -3.80
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 11.32 -1.70
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 11.73
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.21
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.25
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 1.69
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 37.56 53.05
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) -9.20 -82.12
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -3.49 25.11
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.54
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 18.23 -39.04
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 16.41 -34.79
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 17.04 -40.70
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 17.05 -52.53
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 17.65 -29.51
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -30.93 -36.51
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 17.12 -3.42
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.09 0.63
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.01
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 2.26 0.73
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 7.27 1.63
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.36 3.83
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 37.56 53.05
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 37.56 53.05
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 22.10 -30.62
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 16.95 -82.13
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 16.50 -47.07
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 39.30 50.48
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 12.70 -48.61