AerSale Corp (NASDAQ: ASLE)

Sector: Industrials Industry: Airports & Air Services CIK: 0001754170
Market Cap 332.90 Mn
P/B 0.80
P/E 56.62
P/S 0.98
ROIC (Qtr) -0.47
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -13.90
Total Debt (Qtr) 157.62 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.38
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About

AerSale Corp (ASLE) operates in the aviation aftermarket industry, providing comprehensive support to owners and operators of mid-life commercial aircraft. The company's business model is centered around two main segments: Asset Management Solutions and Technical Operations (TechOps). The Asset Management Solutions segment is responsible for acquiring flight equipment from airlines and leasing companies, which serves as feedstock for the company's various business activities. This segment includes the sale and lease of aircraft and engines, as...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong tangible asset base of 607.52M provides 3.85x coverage of total debt 157.62M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Tangible assets of 607.52M provide exceptional 669.81x coverage of deferred revenue 907000, showing strong service capability backing.
  • Operating cash flow of 3.21M provides strong 3.53x coverage of deferred revenue 907000, indicating service delivery capability.
  • Tangible assets of 607.52M provide robust 16.52x coverage of other current liabilities 36.78M, indicating strong asset backing.
  • Retained earnings of 142.30M provide strong 3.87x coverage of other current liabilities 36.78M, indicating earnings quality.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 3.21M barely covers its investment activities of (10.10M), with a coverage ratio of -0.32, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • With cash reserves of 5.27M against inventory of 371.15M, the 0.01 cash-to-inventory ratio suggests potential liquidity risks if inventory turnover slows, particularly concerning given current supply chain volatilities.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 3.21M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 4.31M, with a 0.74 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Free cash flow of (6.89M) provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 10.10M, with a -0.68 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 16.93M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 19.81M, with a 0.85 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Consolidation Items Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Airports & Air Services
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. 7.86 Bn -7.46 347.21 0.04 Bn
2 CAAP Corporacion America Airports S.A. 4.65 Bn 25.43 2.42 1.13 Bn
3 UP Wheels Up Experience Inc. 0.49 Bn -1.39 0.65 0.47 Bn
4 ASLE AerSale Corp 0.33 Bn 56.62 0.98 0.16 Bn
5 SOAR Volato Group, Inc. 0.00 Bn 0.03 0.01 0.00 Bn
6 OMAB Central North Airport Group 0.00 Bn 0.00 0.00 -
7 PAC Pacific Airport Group 0.00 Bn 0.00 0.00 -
8 ASR Southeast Airport Group 0.00 Bn 0.00 0.00 -

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.74 1.49
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 148.54 28.33
EV to Debt EV to Debt 3.02 39.50
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 28.12 6.02
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 14.22 1.99
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF -69.09 -14.29
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.43 -3.17
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.40 61.98
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.80 2.31
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 56.62 14.65
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 0.00
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 0.00
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.00
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 0.00
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 2.27 0.91
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 32.91 -106.28
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) -46.18 -10.09
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 0.00
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 753.26 141.36
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 88.56 30.70
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 113.29 13.57
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 252.48 40.13
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) 1,200.00 216.02
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 85.49 5.95
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 6.01 315.30
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.52 1.12
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.00
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.07 3.00
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 4.41 4.21
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.38 0.14
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 2.27 0.91
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 2.27 0.91
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 10.80 -888.16
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 4.99 -927.43
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 2.79 -933.83
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 30.80 29.60
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 1.70 -934.96