Appfolio Inc (NASDAQ: APPF)

Sector: Technology Industry: Software - Application CIK: 0001433195
Market Cap 6.08 Bn
P/B 11.21
P/E 43.17
P/S 6.40
ROIC (Qtr) 24.12
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 21.86
Total Debt (Qtr) 33.29 Mn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.06
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About

AppFolio Inc., known by its ticker symbol APPF, is a prominent player in the real estate industry, providing cloud-based business management solutions. Since its inception in 2006, the company has been dedicated to helping property managers digitally transform their operations, tackle critical tasks, and enhance customer experience. AppFolio's platform serves as a system of record, engagement, and intelligence, offering a comprehensive solution for property managers. It is supplemented by AppFolio Realm, a suite of AI-powered tools that aid in...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 242.10M provides robust 7.27x coverage of total debt 33.29M, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 542.41M provides 16.29x coverage of total debt 33.29M, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Robust free cash flow of 235.51M exceeds capital expenditure of 6.59M by 35.71x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.
  • Short-term investments of 144.26M provide solid 1.40x coverage of other current liabilities 102.72M, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Retained earnings of 430.97M provide full 12.95x coverage of long-term debt 33.29M, indicating strong internal capital position.

Bear case

  • Investment activities of 10.24M provide weak support for R&D spending of 190.42M, which is 0.05x, suggesting potentially insufficient investment in innovation relative to other capital deployment.
  • Cash reserves of 106.97M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (906000), which is -118.07x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • The company's operating cash flow of 242.10M shows concerning coverage of stock compensation expenses of 70.79M, with a 3.42 ratio indicating potential earnings quality issues.
  • Long-term investments of 77.03M represent a high 1.97x of fixed assets 39.15M, indicating potential overexposure to financial assets versus operational capabilities.
  • Operating cash flow of 242.10M is outpaced by equity issuance of (144.64M) (-1.67 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Peer comparison

Companies in the Software - Application
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 SAP Sap Se 235.43 Bn 27.31 5.44 9.50 Bn
2 SHOP Shopify Inc. 147.12 Bn 119.52 12.73 0.19 Bn
3 UBER Uber Technologies, Inc 147.10 Bn 14.63 2.83 12.08 Bn
4 CRM Salesforce, Inc. 122.20 Bn 594.48 15.45 11.14 Bn
5 INTU Intuit Inc. 113.93 Bn 178.01 32.63 6.78 Bn
6 ADBE Adobe Inc. 111.00 Bn 15.57 4.67 6.65 Bn
7 NOW ServiceNow, Inc. 109.54 Bn 62.67 8.25 2.40 Bn
8 ADP Automatic Data Processing Inc 86.44 Bn 20.41 4.07 4.37 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 8.77 2.08
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 24.96 11.38
EV to Debt EV to Debt 181.51 47.67
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 37.50 6.78
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 33.98 7.15
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 25.65 14.44
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 0.99 -8.88
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 6.35 4.04
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 11.21 3.65
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 43.17 -117.75
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Dividend Coverage Ratio 0.00 -4.05
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 4.38
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.15
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 2.48
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 0.00 -43.57
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 8.22 -222.46
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 151.66 281.53
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 1.78
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -30.94 -327.55
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) 13.09 30.09
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) 7.18 -213.00
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) 7.18 -86.84
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -30.55 108.58
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) 30.14 6.29
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 18.23 94.58
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 1.38 0.58
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.02
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 1.00 3.78
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 3.31 8.27
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.06 0.14
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 -43.57
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 0.00 -43.57
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 19.60 -105.03
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 16.94 -130.16
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 16.94 -121.17
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 63.70 58.37
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 14.80 -126.13