Adecoagro S.A. (NYSE: AGRO)

Sector: Consumer Defensive Industry: Farm Products CIK: 0001499505
Market Cap 871.39 Mn
P/B 0.64
P/E 37.23
P/S 0.63
ROIC (Qtr) 0.57
Div Yield % 0.00
Rev 1y % (Qtr) -35.48
Total Debt (Qtr) 1.61 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.17
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About

Adecoagro S.A., known by its stock symbol AGRO, is a prominent player in the agricultural industry, specifically in Latin America. The company is deeply involved in the production, processing, and sale of agricultural products, as well as the development and management of agricultural land. Adecoagro's operations span across various sectors, including grains, oilseeds, sugar, and land development and management. The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of its agricultural products to a diverse customer base, which includes major...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Operating cash flow of 302.15M provides exceptional 395.49x coverage of minority interest expenses 764000, showing strong core operations.
  • Operating cash flow of 302.15M provides strong 22.93x coverage of stock compensation 13.18M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 302.15M provides solid 0.62x coverage of current liabilities 486.10M, showing strong operational health.
  • Cash position of 340M provides exceptional 445.02x coverage of minority interest expenses 764000, indicating strong liquidity.
  • Robust tangible asset base of 3.61B provides 4.13x coverage of working capital 874.93M, indicating strong operational backing.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 302.15M barely covers its investment activities of (231.56M), with a coverage ratio of -1.30, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Cash reserves of 340M provide limited coverage of acquisition spending of (16.18M), which is -21.01x, suggesting aggressive expansion might strain liquidity if market conditions deteriorate.
  • Operating cash flow of 302.15M provides minimal -15.87x coverage of tax expenses of (19.04M), suggesting potential tax planning inefficiencies or unsustainable tax positions.
  • Free cash flow of 65.61M provides weak coverage of capital expenditures of 236.55M, with a 0.28 ratio suggesting additional external financing needs for growth initiatives.
  • Operating earnings of 143.85M show weak coverage of depreciation charges of 273.84M, with a 0.53 ratio indicating high capital intensity and potential reinvestment needs.

Geographical areas [axis] Breakdown of Revenue (2024)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Farm Products
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland Co 33.15 Bn 30.75 0.41 9.76 Bn
2 TSN Tyson Foods, Inc. 21.32 Bn 106.61 0.39 8.36 Bn
3 BG Bunge Global SA 15.29 Bn 238.98 0.33 17.78 Bn
4 CALM Cal-Maine Foods Inc 3.98 Bn 1,160.43 2.88 0.00 Bn
5 FDP Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc 2.34 Bn 23.44 0.67 0.34 Bn
6 DOLE Dole plc 1.56 Bn 105.27 0.17 1.33 Bn
7 VITL Vital Farms, Inc. 1.26 Bn 20.76 1.77 0.06 Bn
8 AGRO Adecoagro S.A. 0.87 Bn 37.23 0.63 1.61 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.54 0.83
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 6.48 2.92
EV to Debt EV to Debt 1.22 3.55
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 13.62 0.40
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 6.76 -24.51
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 29.87 1.40
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 2.25 3.04
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.41 0.77
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 0.64 0.54
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 37.23 89.91
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 0.00 -21.77
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 74.00 42.88
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 0.00 0.97
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 0.00 6.76
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 1.03 -31.98
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 5.54 -1,577.17
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 71.50 86.77
Dividend Growth (1y) % Div 1y % (Qtr) 0.00 11.26
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) 176.40 -87.64
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -25.94 -202.55
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -43.80 -99.71
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -97.00 -133.79
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -84.44 -151.42
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -28.80 135.44
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) -18.93 -28.83
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.38 1.37
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.00 0.12
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio (Qtr) 0.70 0.98
Current Ratio Curr Ratio (Qtr) 2.80 2.56
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 1.17 -1.90
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 1.03 -31.98
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 1.03 -31.98
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 30.10 691.86
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 10.38 650.76
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 0.32 644.45
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 17.80 -69.17
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 1.70 644.34