Arch Capital Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: ACGL)

Sector: Financial Services Industry: Insurance - Diversified CIK: 0000947484
Market Cap 36.73 Bn
P/B 1.55
P/E 9.05
P/S 1.88
ROIC (Qtr) 15.50
Div Yield % 5.06
Rev 1y % (Qtr) 8.20
Total Debt (Qtr) 2.73 Bn
Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.12
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About

Arch Capital Group Ltd., often referred to as Arch Capital, operates in the insurance and reinsurance industry. With a market capitalization of approximately $21.1 billion as of December 31, 2023, the company is a significant player in the global insurance and reinsurance markets, included in the S&P 500 index. Arch Capital's primary business activities involve writing specialty lines of insurance and reinsurance, focusing on talent-intensive rather than labor-intensive business. The company's insurance operations are conducted in Bermuda, the...

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Investment thesis

Bull case

  • Strong operating cash flow of 6.34B provides robust 2.32x coverage of total debt 2.73B, indicating excellent debt servicing capability and financial flexibility.
  • Strong tangible asset base of 77.92B provides 28.56x coverage of total debt 2.73B, indicating robust asset backing and low credit risk.
  • Operating cash flow of 6.34B provides strong 40.39x coverage of stock compensation 157M, indicating sustainable incentive practices.
  • Operating cash flow of 6.34B provides exceptional 43.14x coverage of interest expenses 147M, showing strong debt service capability.
  • Robust free cash flow of 6.29B exceeds capital expenditure of 46M by 136.85x, indicating strong organic growth funding capability.

Bear case

  • Operating cash flow of 6.34B barely covers its investment activities of (3.20B), with a coverage ratio of -1.98, indicating heavy reliance on external financing for growth which may not be sustainable in a tighter credit environment.
  • Operating cash flow of 6.34B provides thin coverage of dividend payments of (1.87B) with a -3.39 ratio, suggesting potential dividend sustainability issues if operational performance deteriorates.
  • Operating cash flow of 6.34B provides insufficient coverage of deferred revenue obligations of 11.12B, which is 0.57x, raising concerns about future service delivery capabilities.
  • Cash position of 1.06B provides weak coverage of payables of 5.27B, which is 0.20x, indicating potential working capital stress and supplier relationship risks.
  • Operating cash flow of 6.34B is outpaced by equity issuance of (1.09B) (-5.84 ratio), indicating concerning reliance on equity markets for funding operations.

Segments Breakdown of Revenue (2022)

Peer comparison

Companies in the Insurance - Diversified
S.No. Ticker Company Market Cap P/E P/S Total Debt (Qtr)
1 BRK-B Berkshire Hathaway Inc 1,086.07 Bn 16.10 2.71 127.24 Bn
2 AIG American International Group, Inc. 44.86 Bn 14.49 1.68 9.19 Bn
3 SLF Sun Life Financial Inc 38.17 Bn 15.06 1.50 7.61 Bn
4 ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. 36.73 Bn 9.05 1.88 2.73 Bn
5 BNT Brookfield Wealth Solutions Ltd. 11.42 Bn 8.65 0.80 4.77 Bn
6 FIHL Fidelis Insurance Holdings Ltd 2.08 Bn -143.64 0.81 0.84 Bn
7 IGIC International General Insurance Holdings Ltd. 1.24 Bn 35.96 3.93 0.00 Bn
8 WDH Waterdrop Inc. 0.65 Bn 9.10 1.42 0.01 Bn

Industry comparisons

Current Valuation Value Ind Avg Percentile
EV to Assets EV to Assets 0.49 0.32
EV to Cash from Ops. EV/CFO 6.07 14.23
EV to Debt EV to Debt 14.10 4.74
EV to EBIT EV/EBIT 7.92 15.68
EV to EBITDA EV/EBITDA 7.79 33.76
EV to Free Cash Flow [EV/FCF] EV/FCF 6.11 18.23
EV to Market Cap EV to Market Cap 1.05 0.76
EV to Revenue EV/Rev 1.97 1.55
Price to Book Value [P/B] P/B 1.55 1.50
Price to Earnings [P/E] P/E 9.05 -4.40
Dividend Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Dividend Coverage Ratio Div Coverage (Qtr) 2.12 2.23
Dividend Payout Ratio % Div Payout % (Qtr) 45.80 395.61
Dividend per Basic Share Div per Share (Qtr) 5.00 1.19
FCF Dividend Payout Ratio % FCF Div Payout % (Qtr) 29.31 10.14
Interest Coverage Int. cover (Qtr) 33.05 9.63
Growth Metrics Value Ind Avg Percentile
Capex Growth (1y) % Capex 1y % (Qtr) 13.21 19.97
Cash and Equivalents Growth (1y) % Cash & Equiv 1y % (Qtr) 3.71 15.53
Dividend Growth (1y) % Dividend Growth (1y) % 0.00 -3.62
EBIAT Growth (1y) % EBIAT 1y % (Qtr) -28.05 7.45
EBITDA Growth (1y) % EBITDA 1y % (Qtr) -3.44 -3.03
EBIT Growth (1y) % EBIT 1y % (Qtr) -4.14 223.97
EBT Growth (1y) % EBT 1y % (Qtr) -4.44 226.15
EPS Growth (1y) % EPS 1y % (Qtr) -28.58 31.54
FCF Growth (1y) % FCF 1y % (Qtr) -6.21 -17.30
Gross Profit Growth (1y) % Gross Profit 1y % (Qtr) 8.60 3.76
Liquidity Ratios Value Ind Avg Percentile
Asset Utilization Ratio Asset Util Ratio (Qtr) 0.25 0.18
Cash Payout Ratio Cash Payout (Qtr) 0.30 0.16
Cash Ratio Cash Ratio 0.00 0.08
Current Ratio Current Ratio 0.00 0.32
Debt to Equity Ratio Debt/Equity (Qtr) 0.12 0.20
Interest Cover Ratio Int Coverage (Qtr) 33.05 9.63
Times Interest Earned Times Interest Earned (Qtr) 33.05 9.63
Profitability Value Ind Avg Percentile
EBITDA Margin % EBITDA Margin % (Qtr) 26.10 13.98
EBIT Margin % EBIT Margin % (Qtr) 24.86 29.75
EBT Margin % EBT Margin % (Qtr) 24.11 15.51
Gross Margin % Gross Margin % (Qtr) 51.50 45.01
Net Profit Margin % Net Margin % (Qtr) 20.80 13.40